🕒 12:00 PM ET @ Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo, Italy)
The second leg of this Champions League knockout play-off sees Atalanta return home trailing 2-1 after their first-leg loss in Belgium. A 1-goal win for Atalanta would force extra time, but they need a 2-goal victory to advance outright.
Club Brugge, meanwhile, will look to hold their lead while trying to capitalize on Atalanta’s defensive struggles. Expect an attacking battle between two high-scoring teams.
First leg recap
✔ Club Brugge 2-1 Atalanta
✔ Possession: Club Brugge 56% – Atalanta 44%
✔ Shots on Target: Atalanta 5 – Club Brugge 4
Atalanta outshot Brugge but struggled to finish their chances. A late penalty for Brugge secured their win, putting them in the driver's seat for the second leg.
Betting odds & lines
Moneyline | Atalanta -200, Draw +370, Club Brugge +475 |
Asian handicap | Atalanta -1 (-125), Club Brugge +1 (+105) |
Total goals (O/U 3.0) | Over (+102), Under (-122) |
Both teams to score (BTTS) | Yes (-133), No (-100) |
👉 Atalanta is favored to win at home (-200), but Brugge’s +475 odds indicate they are still a dangerous underdog.
Team form & key stats
Atalant (last 10 matches - all competitions)
✅ W-D-D-W-L-W-D-D-W-D
🔺Goals scored: 1.6 per match | 🔻Goals conceded: 0.9 per match | 📊 Possession: 58.1%
👉 Key players:
Mateo Retegui (8 goals)
Ademola Lookman & Charles De Ketelaere (2 goals each)
Raoul Bellanova (3 assists)
Marco Carnesecchi & Rui Patricio (4 combined clean sheets)
Atalanta has struggled to convert possession into goals recently, with only 1 win in their last 6 matches.
Club Brugge (last 10 matches - all competitions)
✅ W-D-W-W-L-D-W-W-D-W
🔺 Goals scored: 2.2 per match |🔻 Goals conceded: 1.3 per match | 📊 Possession: 58.9%
👉 Key players:
Gustaf Nilsson (6 goals)
Hans Vanaken (3 goals, 3 assists)
Christos Tzolis (2 goals, 3 assists)
Simon Mignolet (3 clean sheets)
Brugge is unbeaten in their last 4 matches and scored in 18 straight away games.
Best bets & predictions
Best bets
✅ Over 2.5 goals (-163)
Atalanta has scored 2+ goals in 13 of their last 20 matches.
Brugge’s last 7 of 10 away matches have gone Over 2.5 Goals.
Brugge has scored 2+ goals in 17 of their last 26 league matches.
✅ Both teams to score – YES (-133)
BTTS has hit in 13 of Atalanta’s last 20 matches.
Brugge has scored in 18 consecutive away matches.
Atalanta has conceded in 9 of their last 11 home matches.
✅ Atalanta to win & BTTS (+200)
Atalanta has picked up 24 points from 12 home games in Serie A.
Brugge is winless in 4 straight away games (D2, L2).
Atalanta should respond at home, but Brugge is likely to score.
Player props
✔ Mateo Retegui anytime goal (+120) – Atalanta’s leading scorer is key to their attack.
✔ Hans Vanaken over 0.5 assists (+250) – Brugge’s main playmaker has 3 assists in 10 games.
✔ Charles De Ketelaere over 2.5 shots (-110) – Atalanta’s attacking midfielder will be heavily involved.
Predicted scoreline
💰 Atalanta 3-1 Club Brugge
Atalanta turns things around at home and forces extra time.
Brugge scores but struggles to hold off Atalanta’s attack.
Final verdict
🔥 Best bet: Over 2.5 goals (-163)
🎯 Value bet: Atalanta to win & BTTS (+200)
💎 Longshot: Mateo Retegui anytime goal (+120)
Expect goals in this game, with Atalanta pushing hard to overturn the deficit. Brugge has scored in every away game this season, so both teams finding the net is likely.
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