🕒 4:00 PM ET @ Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
💰 Moneyline: Alabama -135 / Auburn +115 | Total: 172.5 (-110 over / -110 under)
Key betting trends:
Auburn: 14-9-1 ATS overall, 5-6 ATS in conference play.
Alabama: 14-10 ATS, strong at home (6-5 ATS).
Head-to-Head: Alabama has won six of the last ten matchups, but Auburn took the last meeting 99-81.
Matchup analysis
Auburn Tigers
Record: 22-2, 14-9-1 ATS
✅ Elite defense (10th in opponent eFG%)
✅ Strong rebounding (29th in total rebounds per game)
✅ Efficient offense (5th in points per game, 3rd in assist-to-turnover ratio)
❌ Can struggle on the road (allowing 45.4% FG to opponents)
❌ Foul trouble (259th in fouls per game)
Key injuries: Chad Baker-Mazara (probable - undisclosed)
Alabama Crimson Tide
Record: 21-3, 14-10 ATS
✅ Best offense in the country (1st in points per game)
✅ Dominant rebounding (2nd in total rebounds per game)
✅ Strong three-point defense (13th in opponent 3PT%)
❌ Defensive struggles (318th in opponent PPG)
❌ Turnover issues (303rd in turnovers per game)
Key injuries: Davin Reid (questionable - undisclosed), H. Mallette (out - knee), L. Wrightsell (out - Achilles)
Picks & predictions
Final score: Alabama 86 - Auburn 82
Outcome: Alabama covers the spread | Key factors: Home-court advantage, rebounding edge, and Auburn’s road defensive struggles.
Spread pick | Alabama -2.5 (EVEN) - Reasoning: Alabama is dominant offensively and plays well at home. Auburn has struggled to defend on the road. Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10) |
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