MLB Best Picks Today
1. Tigers ML (-125)
Reese Olson vs. Eric Lauer
Olson has been sharp at home and projects for low walks and damage control against a Blue Jays team that’s average vs righties. Detroit also matches up well against Lauer, who’s been extremely hittable. Tigers have the edge on both mound and matchup.
2. Cardinals ML (-155)
Sonny Gray vs. Yu Darvish
Sonny Gray is the top projected pitcher on the slate with a 67% win probability and a solid strikeout projection. Darvish and the Padres have struggled mightily against good right-handers and Busch Stadium is suppressing offense lately.
3. Guardians ML (-121)
Logan Allen vs. Logan Evans
Allen isn’t elite but he’s serviceable — and he’ll get run support facing a Baltimore team that’s sending out Logan Evans, who’s allowing too many baserunners. The Guardians’ offense should be able to capitalize in the middle innings.
4. Astros -1.5 (+170)
Luis Severino vs. Jason Alexander
Severino is volatile but the matchup is favorable — the A’s are bottom-5 in most offensive categories, and Alexander’s numbers are among the weakest on the board. Houston should win handily, and the plus-money runline makes it worthwhile.
💣 Long Shot Home Run Prop
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – OVER 0.5 HR (+700)
He faces Reese Olson, who doesn’t allow many HRs, but Comerica Park’s short left field fences and Guerrero’s rising power metrics create a high-upside shot here at long odds.