🕒 12:00 PM ET @ Estadio da Luz (Lisbon, Portugal)
Benfica secured a crucial 1-0 away win in Monaco in the first leg, setting themselves up nicely for the return leg in Lisbon. They now have a strong chance of advancing, having won five straight matches across all competitions.
Monaco dominated their last domestic match with a 7-1 win over Nantes, but they struggle on the road, especially in European competition. They will need a big performance to turn the tie around, but Benfica hasn't lost at home in five straight matches.
First leg recap
✔ Monaco 0-1 Benfica
✔ Possession: Benfica 55% – Monaco 45%
✔ Shots on Target: Benfica 6 – Monaco 4
Benfica controlled the tempo and took their chance when Vangelis Pavlidis scored the only goal of the match. Monaco will have to be more aggressive in the second leg, but Benfica’s defensive record at home is solid.
Betting odds & lines
Moneyline | Benfica -120, Draw +310, Monaco +285 |
Asian handicap | Benfica -0.5 (-118), Monaco +0.5 (-102) |
Total goals (O/U 3.0) | Over (-118), Under (-102) |
Both teams to score (BTTS) | Yes (-200), No (+150) |
Benfica is the favorite at -120, meaning sportsbooks expect a narrow home win. The total is set at O3.0 (-118), indicating an expectation for more goals than in the first leg.
Team form & key stats
Benfica (last 10 league matches)
✅ W-W-W-W-W-L-D-W-L-W
Goals scored: 1.9 per match | Goals conceded: 1.1 per match | Possession: 59.0% | Corners: 6.8 per match
👉 Key players:
Vangelis Pavlidis (4 goals)
Angel Di Maria & Leandro Barreiro (3 goals each)
Zeki Amdouni & Pavlidis (2 assists each)
Anatolii Trubin (4 clean sheets)
Benfica has won five consecutive matches, including two in the Champions League.
Monaco (last 10 league matches)
✅ W-L-L-D-W-W-L-D-W-W
Goals scored: 2.3 per match | Goals conceded: 1.9 per match | Possession: 54.3% | Corners: 5.6 per match
👉 Key players:
Mika Biereth (7 goals)
Breel Embolo (3 goals)
Lamine Camara (5 assists)
Majecki & Philipp Koehn (3 clean sheets combined)
Monaco has struggled on the road, losing four straight away games.
Best bets & predictions
Best bets
✅ Benfica moneyline (-120)
Benfica has won five straight matches.
Monaco has lost four of their last five away games.
Benfica has kept 10 clean sheets in 22 Primeira Liga matches.
✅ Over 2.5 goals (-118)
Benfica has scored 2+ goals in 13 of their 22 Primeira Liga matches.
Monaco has seen over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 away games.
Monaco has conceded 2+ goals in four straight road games.
✅ Both teams to score – YES (-200)
Benfica has scored in 9 of their last 10 home games.
Monaco has found the net in 12 of their last 14 matches.
Monaco will need to attack to overturn the deficit.
✅ Vangelis Pavlidis anytime goal (+130)
Scored the winner in the first leg.
Has scored 6 goals in his last 10 matches.
Monaco’s defense is vulnerable away from home.
Player props
✔ Mika Biereth Anytime Goal (+180) – Monaco’s in-form striker has 7 goals in 5 matches.
✔ Kerem Akturkoglu Over 0.5 Assists (+175) – Leads Benfica in creative play.
✔ Over 9.5 Corners (-110) – Both teams average over 5 corners per game.
Predicted scoreline
💰 Benfica 2-1 Monaco
Benfica takes advantage of home form.
Monaco scores but can’t contain Benfica’s attack.
Final verdict
🔥 Best Bet: Benfica moneyline (-120)
🎯 Value Bet: Over 2.5 goals (-118)
💎 Longshot Pick: Mika Biereth anytime goal (+180)
Benfica should secure the win at home, but Monaco could make it interesting. Expect goals from both sides, with Benfica advancing to the next round.
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