We got some Champions League picks today! Matches are kicking off here at 9:45 AM PST / 12:45 PM EST so get ready to watch PSG early and the rest of the matches.

Special thanks to Josh, our newest member of Stack Decks and the resident soccer genius over in the UK. He put together a lot of these picks and last time he went like 90% on his picks. Josh is also a huge NBA fan and an Eagles fan — congrats!

Also, if you have not joined the Premium yet, it might be time to jump in there today, at least for the 2-day free trial. Today, we got content going out for NBA, NCAA basketball, and Champions League soccer.

Let’s get to the action!

🏆 Champions League Picks – 11.02.24 🏆

✅ Top Picks of the Day ✅ [PREMIUM ONLY 🔒]

Giving away the top pick of the day but there are 5 other top picks for premium members!

  1. Ousmane Dembele – 2+ Shots on Target (Brest vs PSG)

    • Confidence Level: 🔥 9/10

    • 10 SoT in 6 UCL games this season

    • 2+ SoT in each of his last 5 games

    • 16 goals in his last 10 matches

  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund

    • Confidence Level: 🚀 8/10

    • BTTS in 12 of Dortmund’s last 13 matches

    • Sporting have scored in every UCL game this season

  • Over 3.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Manchester City vs Real Madrid

    • Confidence Level: 🚀 8/10

    • BTTS in 8 of the last 9 H2H meetings

    • 6 of City’s last 7 UCL matches featured 4+ goals

  • Mbappe & Haaland – 1+ Shot on Target Each (Manchester City vs Real Madrid)

    • Confidence Level: 🚀 8/10

    • Mbappe: 9 goals in last 8 matches

    • Haaland expected to have chances at home despite recent form

  • Over 2.5 Cards – Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund

    • Confidence Level: ✅ 7/10

    • Both teams average over 11 fouls and 2+ cards per UCL game

    • Expect physical, cagey play

  • Real Madrid – 14+ Total Shots (vs Manchester City)

    • Confidence Level: ✅ 7/10

    • City conceding lots of shots recently (26 vs PSG, 12 vs Leyton Orient)

    • Real Madrid with 23+ shots in recent matches

💡 Quick Tips:

  • Most Confident Pick: Ousmane Dembele 2+ Shots on Target (9/10)

  • Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 Goals + BTTS in Man City vs Real Madrid (8/10)

  • Sneaky Good Pick: Real Madrid 14+ Shots (City’s defense has been shaky!)

📋 Full UCL Match Breakdowns Below

Brest vs PSG

  1. Ousmane Dembele – 2+ Shots on Target

    • 🔥 Confidence Level: 9/10

    • 10 SoT in 6 UCL games this season

    • Played Brest twice this season: 2 goals in first match, 3 in the second

    • 10 goals in last 5 games, 16 goals in last 10

    • 2+ SoT in each of his last 5 games

    • It might be worth parlaying Dembele with PSG to win

      • Dembele 3+ shots on target is +150 and 4 shots on target is +400!

  2. Achraf Hakimi – 2 Shots

    • ✅ Confidence Level: 7/10

    • 20 shots in UCL this season (2nd only to Dembele)

    • Averaging 2.56 shots per 90 mins

  3. Over 3.5 Goals

    • ✅ Confidence Level: 7/10

    • Previous meetings: 3-1 and 5-2

    • Expect a fast-paced, physical clash between these French sides

  4. Ludovic Ajorque – 2+ Fouls Committed

    • ✅ Confidence Level: 7/10

    • 37 fouls in Ligue 1 this season (2nd most)

    • 2+ fouls in last 14 starts across all competitions

    • Will battle with center-backs all game

💸 Moneyline: PSG

  • Dembele is on fire, and PSG should secure their third win over Brest this season.
    Score Prediction: 3-1 PSG

Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund

  1. Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

    • 🚀 Confidence Level: 8/10

    • Dortmund have UCL’s top scorer (Guirassy with 9 goals)

    • BTTS in 12 of Dortmund’s last 13 matches

    • Sporting have scored in every UCL game this season

  2. Conrad Harder – 1+ Shot on Target

    • ✅ Confidence Level: 7/10

    • Hit this mark in 9 of 11 starts, averaging 5.18 shots per 90

    • Worth betting before lineups are out

  3. Francisco Trincao – 2+ Fouls Drawn

    • ⚠️ Confidence Level: 6/10

    • Averaging 1.83 fouls drawn per 90 (2.27 at home)

    • Up against Bensebaini, who commits 1.68 fouls per 90

  4. Over 2.5 Cards

    • ✅ Confidence Level: 7/10

    • Both teams average over 11 fouls and 2+ cards per UCL game

    • Expect a physical, cagey contest

💸 Moneyline: Avoid

  • Tricky matchup. Dortmund are better, but Sporting at home with Guirassy’s form could make this tight.

Juventus vs PSV

  1. Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

    • ⚠️ Confidence Level: 6/10

    • PSV: 16 UCL goals this season

    • BTTS in 7 of Juve’s last 10 home matches & 7 of PSV’s last 10 away matches

  2. Over 2.5 Goals

    • ⚠️ Confidence Level: 6/10

    • Similar reasoning as BTTS

    • PSV recently beat Liverpool 3-2

  3. Juventus to Win

    • ⚠️ Confidence Level: 6/10

    • Inconsistent form, but should edge this at home

    • Score Prediction: 2-1 Juventus

Manchester City vs Real Madrid [PREMIUM ONLY 🔒]

(GOALS, GOALS, GOALS)

  1. Over 3.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

    • 🚀 Confidence Level: 8/10

    • 6 of City’s last 7 UCL matches had 4+ goals

    • BTTS in 8 of the last 9 H2H meetings

  2. Mbappe & Haaland – 1+ Shot on Target Each

    • 🚀 Confidence Level: 8/10

    • Mbappe: 9 goals in last 8 matches

    • Haaland shaky recently but expect chances at home

  3. Real Madrid – 14+ Total Shots

    • ✅ Confidence Level: 7/10

    • City conceding lots of shots recently

    • Real Madrid had 23 shots last weekend

  4. Rodrygo – 2+ Shots / Score or Assist

    • ✅ Confidence Level: 7/10

    • Scored in last 2 vs City

    • 2+ goals in last 2 UCL games

💸 Moneyline: Real Madrid

  • It’s the UCL, it’s Real Madrid. City are struggling, and Madrid could pull off a 3-1 win at the Etihad.

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