Connecticut vs. St. John's (-4)
🕒 9:00 AM ET @ Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
💰 Moneyline: St. John's -185 / UConn +150 | Total: 138.5 (-110 over / -110 under)
Key betting trends:
UConn: 18-8 overall, 10-5 in Big East play, 6-5 ATS on the road.
St. John's: 23-4 overall, 14-2 in Big East play, dominant at home (16-1 SU).
Head-to-Head: St. John's won the last meeting 68-62; UConn leads the last 10 matchups 6-4.
Matchup analysis
Connecticut
Record: 18-8, 10-5 Big East
✅ Strong inside scoring (57.7% from two-point range, 12th nationally)
✅ Efficient offense (1.175 points per possession, 25th in the country)
✅ Elite blocking (6.6 BPG, #1 in NCAA)
✅ Strong rebounding (35.3 RPG, ranked 152nd)
✅ Top-tier free throw shooting (78.0%, 19th nationally)
❌ Struggles forcing turnovers (288th in opponent turnovers per game)
❌ Three-point defense is vulnerable (35.7% allowed, 283rd in NCAA)
❌ Road inconsistency (6-5 ATS on the road)
Key injuries: No major injuries reported.
St. John's
Record: 23-4, 14-2 Big East
✅ Stifling defense (65.3 PPG allowed, 23rd nationally)
✅ Strong rebounding team (41.1 RPG, 4th in NCAA)
✅ Top-tier interior defense (43.9% opponent two-point FG, 6th in NCAA)
✅ Elite transition offense (1st in Big East in fastbreak points)
✅ Home dominance (16-1 SU at home)
❌ Weak outside shooting (29.8% from three, 343rd in NCAA)
❌ Turnover-prone offense (11.1 TPG, 110th in NCAA)
❌ Free throw struggles (68.4% as a team, 301st in NCAA)
Key injuries: RJ Luis (questionable - ankle), Jaiden Glover (questionable - illness), Brady Dunlap (out - knee).
Picks & predictions
Final score: St. John's 72 - UConn 66
Outcome: St. John's covers the spread | Key factors: Home-court dominance, rebounding edge, UConn’s inconsistency from three.
Subscribe to Stack Decks Premium
Become a premium subscriber to get access to 5-10 or more picks every day.
Upgrade Now!