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🏀College Basketball Picks Today - Thursday, March 14
🔥Favorite Picks Today
Michigan State -5.0
Texas +10.0
George Mason -2.5
St. John's -4.5
Wisconsin -1.0
Picks for 27 NCAA Basketball Games [PREMIUM ONLY]
Two of the hardest games to call are BYU/Houston and Florida/Missouri. I really like all 4 of these teams a lot. I switched them to the opposite picks last second. We’re going with hot offenses!
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Time (ET) | Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|---|
11:30 AM | St. Bonaventure vs. VCU | St. Bonaventure +11.0 |
12:00 PM | Oregon (#23) vs. Michigan St. (#7) | Michigan State -5.0 |
12:30 PM | Kennesaw St. vs. Liberty | Liberty -7.5 |
1:00 PM | Mississippi vs. Auburn (#3) | Auburn -12.0 |
1:00 PM | Wichita St. vs. Memphis (#16) | Memphis -9.5 |
2:00 PM | Saint Louis vs. Loyola Chicago | Saint Louis +2.0 |
2:30 PM | Wisconsin (#18) vs. UCLA | Wisconsin -1.0 |
3:30 PM | Florida Atlantic vs. Tulane | Florida Atlantic -3.0 |
3:30 PM | Texas vs. Tennessee (#8) | Texas +10.0 |
5:00 PM | George Washington vs. George Mason | George Mason -2.5 |
5:00 PM | Toledo vs. Akron | Toledo +8.0 |
6:00 PM | Iona vs. Quinnipiac | Iona +3.5 |
6:30 PM | Illinois (#24) vs. Maryland (#11) | Illinois +1.5 |
6:30 PM | Marquette (#25) vs. St. John’s (#6) | St. John's -4.5 |
7:00 PM | BYU (#17) vs. Houston (#2) | BYU +7.5 |
7:00 PM | Missouri (#21) vs. Florida (#4) | Florida -8.0 |
7:00 PM | North Carolina vs. Duke (#1) | Duke -7.0 |
7:00 PM | Tulsa vs. North Texas | North Texas -13.0 |
7:30 PM | Kent State vs. Miami (OH) | Kent State -3.5 |
7:30 PM | Saint Joseph’s vs. Dayton | Dayton -2.0 |
8:30 PM | Mount St. Mary’s vs. Merrimack | Merrimack -5.0 |
9:00 PM | Purdue (#20) vs. Michigan (#22) | Purdue -3.5 |
9:30 PM | Boise State vs. New Mexico | Boise State +1.5 |
NBA Picks Today - Friday, March 14th
Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
Game Overview
Tip-off: 4:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Spread: Celtics -8.0 (-110) | Heat +8.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Celtics -310 | Heat +255
Total (O/U): 216.5 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
Key Betting Trends
Celtics: 43-18 SU, 35-26 ATS; strong road performance with a 20-10 record.
Heat: 29-31 SU, 28-32 ATS; struggling recently with a five-game losing streak.
Head-to-Head: Celtics have won both matchups this season and lead the series 9-1 SU (7-3 ATS) over the last 10 meetings.
Matchup Breakdown
Boston Celtics (43-18, 35-26 ATS)
Strengths:
High-scoring offense (4th in PPG)
Efficient shooting (5th in FG%)
Solid defense (6th in defensive rating)
Weaknesses:
Occasional turnover issues (18th in TO margin)
Inconsistent bench production
Miami Heat (29-31, 28-32 ATS)
Strengths:
Strong home-court presence despite recent struggles
Effective at drawing fouls and getting to the free-throw line
Weaknesses:
Inconsistent offense (25th in PPG)
Defensive lapses in recent games
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Spread Pick: Celtics -8.0 (-110)
Analysis: Boston's balanced offense and defense, coupled with Miami's recent struggles, suggest the Celtics can cover the spread.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Total Points (O/U): Over 216.5 (-110)
Analysis: Both teams have the potential to score, and the total has gone over in 4 of Boston's last 6 games.
Confidence Level: 6/10
Top Player Props
Jayson Tatum - Over 28.5 Points (-115)
Analysis: Tatum has been averaging 30+ PPG over the last five games.
Confidence Level: 8/10
Bam Adebayo - Over 9.5 Rebounds (-110)
Analysis: Adebayo's rebounding is crucial against Boston's frontcourt.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Parlay Play
Celtics ML (-310)
Over 216.5 (-110)
Tatum Over 28.5 Points (-115)
Odds: +320 (Approximate)
Confidence Level: 6/10 - Moderate-risk, small stake recommended.
Betting Strategy Notes
Monitor Miami's injury report; key absences could impact the spread.
Consider live betting opportunities if Miami starts strong; Boston has shown resilience in comebacks.
Player props on Tatum's scoring and Adebayo's rebounding offer value.
Indiana Pacers vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Game Overview
Tip-off: 4:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
Spread: Pacers -12.0 (-105) | 76ers +12.0 (-115)
Moneyline: Pacers -675 | 76ers +460
Total (O/U): 232.5 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
Key Betting Trends
Pacers: 36-28 SU, 30-34 ATS; averaging 116.4 PPG (10th in the league) while allowing 115.4 PPG (20th in the NBA).
76ers: 22-43 SU, 22-42 ATS; struggling with injuries to key players, including Joel Embiid and Paul George.
Head-to-Head: Pacers have won the last two meetings, including a 115-102 victory on January 18, 2025.
Matchup Breakdown
Indiana Pacers (36-28, 30-34 ATS)
Strengths:
High-scoring offense, ranking 10th in the league with 116.4 PPG.
Efficient ball movement, leading to quality shot opportunities.
Weaknesses:
Defensive vulnerabilities, allowing 115.4 PPG (20th in the NBA).
Inconsistent performance against teams with losing records.
Philadelphia 76ers (22-43, 22-42 ATS)
Strengths:
Resilient bench players stepping up amid injuries but it’s not enough.
Home-court advantage, with the potential to rally despite setbacks.
Weaknesses:
Significant injuries to star players, including Joel Embiid and Paul George, impacting both offense and defense. Maxey is also out.
Struggles in maintaining defensive intensity, leading to high opponent scoring.
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Spread Pick: Pacers -13.0 (-105)
Analysis: Given the 76ers' injury woes and recent performance struggles, the Pacers are positioned to cover the spread, but I’m staying away from this one — I do not love betting on against a big home underdog.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Total Points (O/U): Over 232.5 (-110)
Analysis: Both teams have shown tendencies for high-scoring games, and defensive lapses could lead to a combined score exceeding the set total.
Confidence Level: 6/10
Top Player Props
Pascal Siakam - Over 8.5 Rebounds (-105).
Guershon Yabusele - Over 10.5 Points
Parlay Play
Pacers ML (-675)
Over 232.5 (-110)
Odds: +180 (Approximate)
Confidence Level: 6/10 - Moderate-risk, small stake recommended.
Betting Strategy Notes
Consider live betting opportunities, especially if the 76ers start strong; the Pacers have shown the ability to adjust mid-game.
Mostly stay away from this one.
L.A. Clippers vs. Atlanta Hawks
Game Overview
Tip-off: 4:30 PM (ET)
Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Spread: Clippers -4.0 (-105) | Hawks +4.0 (-115)
Moneyline: Clippers -170 | Hawks +145
Total (O/U): 233.0 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
Key Betting Trends
Clippers: 36-30 SU, 34-31-1 ATS; averaging 111.1 PPG (21st in the league) while allowing 108.9 PPG (5th in the NBA).
Hawks: 32-34 SU, 32-34 ATS; averaging 117.4 PPG (5th in the league) while allowing 119.6 PPG (27th in the NBA).
Head-to-Head: The Clippers won the last meeting 131-105 on January 1, 2025.
Matchup Breakdown
Los Angeles Clippers (36-30, 34-31-1 ATS)
Strengths:
Stout defense, ranking 3rd in defensive rating.
Efficient shooting, with a field goal percentage of 47.3% (13th in the league).
Weaknesses:
Below-average offensive output, ranking 21st in PPG.
Inconsistent road performance, with a 14-20 away record.
Atlanta Hawks (32-34, 32-34 ATS)
Strengths:
High-scoring offense, ranking 5th in PPG.
Solid home record, standing at 17-16.
Weaknesses:
Defensive struggles, allowing 119.6 PPG (27th in the league).
Inconsistency in maintaining leads, leading to close games.
Spread Pick: Hawks +4.0 (-115)
Analysis: Given the Hawks' strong home performance and the Clippers' road inconsistencies, Atlanta covering the spread is a favorable option.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Total Points (O/U): Over 233.0 (-110)
Analysis: The Clippers' defensive is fading as the year goes on.
Confidence Level: 6/10
Top Player Props
Trae Young - Over 25.5 Points (-115)
Analysis: Clippers defense is fading.
Confidence Level: 8/10
James Harden - Over 8.5 Assists (-110)
Analysis: Harden's averaging 8.7 APG and this defense is poor.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Parlay Play
Hawks +4.0 (-115)
Over 233.0 (-110)
Young Over 27.5 Points (-115)
Odds: +600 (Approximate)
Confidence Level: 6/10 - Moderate-risk, small stake recommended.
Betting Strategy Notes
Consider live betting opportunities if the game pace differs from expectations.
Player props on Young's scoring and Harden's assists offer value, given their recent performances.
Charlotte Hornets vs. San Antonio Spurs
Game Overview
Tip-off: 5:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Spread: Spurs -3.0 (-110) | Hornets +3.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Spurs -160 | Hornets +135
Total (O/U): 230.0 (-115 Over / -105 Under)
Key Betting Trends
Hornets: 16-49 SU, 33-30-2 ATS; averaging 105.4 PPG (28th in the league) while allowing 113.0 PPG (14th in the NBA).
Spurs: 27-37 SU, 28-36 ATS; averaging 114.0 PPG (15th in the league) while allowing 119.6 PPG (27th in the NBA).
Head-to-Head: The Hornets have won seven of the last eight meetings, including a 117-116 victory on February 7, 2025.
Matchup Breakdown
Charlotte Hornets (16-49, 33-30-2 ATS)
Strengths:
LaMelo Ball's exceptional playmaking and scoring abilities, averaging 25.6 PPG and 7.0 APG.
Strong defensive presence, ranking 14th in opponent PPG.
Weaknesses:
Struggles in offensive efficiency, ranking 28th in PPG and 30th in field goal percentage.
High turnover rates, leading to easy points for opponents.
San Antonio Spurs (27-37, 28-36 ATS)
Strengths:
Effective three-point shooting, averaging 14 made threes per game (11th in the NBA).
Home-court advantage, with a 17-16 record at Frost Bank Center.
Weaknesses:
Defensive struggles, allowing 119.6 PPG (27th in the league).
Recent injuries to key players, including De'Aaron Fox and Victor Wembanyama, impacting overall performance. The Spurs are officially in tank mode.
Spread Pick: Hornets +3.0 (-110)
Analysis: Given the Spurs' injury challenges and the Hornets' recent success in head-to-head matchups, Charlotte covering the spread is a favorable option.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Total Points (O/U): Under 230.0 (-105)
Analysis: Both teams have shown inconsistencies in offensive production, and defensive strategies may lead to a lower-scoring game.
Confidence Level: 6/10
Top Player Props
LaMelo Ball - Over 25.5 Points (-110)
Analysis: Ball has been a consistent scorer for the Hornets, especially in recent games, making this a viable prop bet.
Confidence Level: 8/10
Devin Vassell - Over 18.5 Points (-105)
Analysis: With key players sidelined, Vassell's offensive role has increased, leading to higher scoring opportunities.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Parlay Play
Hornets +3.0 (-110)
Under 230.0 (-105)
Ball Over 25.5 Points (-110)
Odds: +600 (Approximate)
Confidence Level: 6/10 - Moderate-risk, small stake recommended.
Betting Strategy Notes
Monitor injury reports closely, as the Spurs' lineup changes could significantly impact game dynamics.
Consider live betting opportunities, especially if the Hornets start strong; the Spurs may struggle to adjust without key players.
Player props on Ball's scoring and Vassell's increased offensive role offer value, given their recent performances and team circumstances.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Game Overview
Tip-off: 5:00 PM (ET)
Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Spread: Cavaliers -2.5
Moneyline: Cavaliers -142 | Grizzlies +120
Total (O/U): 245.0
Key Betting Trends
Cavaliers: 55-10 SU, 41-23-1 ATS; averaging 122.7 PPG (1st in the league) while allowing 111.2 PPG (5th in the NBA).
Grizzlies: 42-24 SU, 36-27-3 ATS; averaging 122.6 PPG (2nd in the league) while allowing 116.0 PPG (18th in the NBA).
Head-to-Head: The Cavaliers have won the last three meetings, including a 129-123 victory on February 23, 2025.
Matchup Breakdown
Cleveland Cavaliers (55-10, 41-23-1 ATS)
Strengths:
High-scoring offense, leading the league with 122.7 PPG.
Strong defensive unit, ranking 5th in opponent PPG.
Exceptional team depth and versatility.
Weaknesses:
Potential over-reliance on star players.
Occasional lapses in defensive intensity.
Memphis Grizzlies (42-24, 36-27-3 ATS)
Strengths:
Dynamic offense, ranking 2nd in the league with 122.6 PPG.
Strong home-court presence.
Resilient team chemistry.
Weaknesses:
Defensive inconsistencies, allowing 116.0 PPG (18th in the league).
Injuries to key players impacting performance.
Spread Pick: Cavaliers -2.5
Analysis: Given the Cavaliers' current 15-game winning streak and strong performance metrics, they are positioned to cover the spread.
Confidence Level: 8/10
Total Points (O/U): Under 245.0
Analysis: Despite both teams' high-scoring offenses, the combined total may not exceed the set line due Mitchell being out.
Confidence Level: 6/10
Top Player Props
Darius Garland - Over 23.5 Points (-110)
Analysis: With Donovan Mitchell's status uncertain, Garland is expected to take on a larger scoring role.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Ja Morant - Over 6.5 Assists (-135)
Analysis: Morant's playmaking abilities are crucial for the Grizzlies, especially against a strong defensive team like the Cavaliers.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Parlay Play
Under 245.0
Morant Asst Over 6.5
Bane Pts Over 19.5
Odds: +550 (Approximate)
Confidence Level: 6/10 - Moderate-risk, small stake recommended.
Betting Strategy Notes
Live Betting Opportunities: Consider live betting if the Cavaliers start slow; their ability to adjust mid-game has been notable. Both teams can go on huge runs.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets
Game Overview
Tip-off: 5:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Spread: Rockets -11.5
Moneyline: Rockets -595 | Mavericks +451
Total (O/U): 224
Key Betting Trends
Mavericks: 33-34 SU, 32-33-2 ATS; averaging 115.2 PPG (10th in the league) while allowing 116.0 PPG (20th in the NBA).
Rockets: 41-25 SU, 37-29-0 ATS; averaging 117.0 PPG (8th in the league) while allowing 112.5 PPG (12th in the NBA).
Head-to-Head: The Rockets have won two of the last three meetings, including a 110-99 victory on January 1, 2025.
Matchup Breakdown
Dallas Mavericks (33-34, 32-33-2 ATS)
Strengths:
High-scoring offense, ranking 10th in the league with 115.2 PPG.
Strong shooting efficiency, with a field goal percentage of 47.5% (7th in the NBA).
Weaknesses:
Defensive vulnerabilities, allowing 116.0 PPG (20th in the NBA).
High turnover rate, averaging 14.8 turnovers per game (25th in the league).
Tons of injuries obviously.
Houston Rockets (41-25, 37-29-0 ATS)
Strengths:
Balanced offense, ranking 8th in the league with 117.0 PPG.
Solid defensive unit, allowing 112.5 PPG (12th in the NBA).
Strong home-court performance, with a 23-10 record at Toyota Center.
Weaknesses:
Inconsistent three-point shooting, with a 34.8% success rate (18th in the league).
Occasional lapses in defensive rebounding, allowing 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (22nd in the NBA).
Spread Pick: No Bet.
Analysis: Don’t like this game it feels weird.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Total Points (O/U): Over 224
Analysis: Both teams have potent offenses, and defensive lapses could lead to a combined score exceeding the set total.
Confidence Level: 6/10
Top Player Props
Jalen Green - Over 21.5 Points (-110)
Analysis: Green will come back around here and start being consistent again.
Confidence Level: 8/10
Alperen Sengun - Over 9.5 Rebounds (-105)
Analysis: Sengun's presence in the paint makes him a strong candidate to surpass this rebounding mark.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Betting Strategy Notes
Consider Live Betting: If the Mavericks start strong, live betting on the Rockets could present value, given their ability to adjust mid-game.
Orlando Magic vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Game Overview
Tip-off: 5:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Spread: Timberwolves -10.0 (-115) | Magic +10.0 (-105)
Moneyline: Timberwolves -490 | Magic +355
Total (O/U): 209.0 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
Key Betting Trends
Magic: 30-36 SU, 30-36 ATS; averaging 104.3 PPG (30th in the league) while allowing 106.1 PPG (1st in the NBA).
Timberwolves: 38-29 SU, 36-31 ATS; averaging 112.9 PPG (20th in the league) while allowing 109.2 PPG (11th in the NBA).
Head-to-Head: Timberwolves have won the last meeting, a 104-89 victory on January 9, 2025.
Matchup Breakdown
Orlando Magic (30-36, 30-36 ATS)
Strengths:
Defense: Allowing a league-best 106.1 PPG, showcasing strong defensive capabilities.
Weaknesses:
Offense: Struggling offensively, ranking last in the league with 104.3 PPG.
Minnesota Timberwolves (38-29, 36-31 ATS)
Strengths:
Recent Performance: Riding a six-game winning streak
Offensive Efficiency: Averaging 112.9 PPG, with key players like Anthony Edwards contributing significantly.
Weaknesses:
Defense: Allowing 109.2 PPG, ranking 11th in the league, indicating room for improvement.
Spread Pick: Timberwolves -10.0 (-115)
Analysis: Given the Timberwolves' recent form and the Magic's offensive struggles, Minnesota is positioned to cover the spread. The Magic are coming off a B2B also.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Total Points (O/U): Under 209.0 (-110)
Analysis: Both teams have shown tendencies for lower-scoring games, and defensive strengths could lead to a combined score under the set total.
Confidence Level: 6/10
Top Player Props
Anthony Edwards - Over 28.5 Points (-110)
Analysis: Edwards has been a consistent scorer for the Timberwolves, especially during their winning streak.
Confidence Level: 8/10
Paolo Banchero - Over 8.5 Rebounds (-105)
Analysis: Banchero has been active all over on the offensive end.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Betting Strategy Notes
Monitor the Magic's offensive performance: Their ability to break through the Timberwolves' defense could influence the game's dynamics.
Consider live betting opportunities: If the Magic start strong, the Timberwolves have shown the ability to adjust mid-game.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets
Game Overview
Tip-off: 6:30 PM (ET)
Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Spread: Nuggets -14.0 (-110) | Lakers +14.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Nuggets -800 | Lakers +625
Total (O/U): 232.0 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
Key Betting Trends
Lakers: 40-24 SU, 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games; facing injury challenges with key players sidelined.
Nuggets: 42-24 SU, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games; exhibiting strong home performance but recent inconsistencies against the spread.
Head-to-Head: The under has hit in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams, including the last 6 in Denver.
Matchup Breakdown
Los Angeles Lakers (40-24, 0-3 ATS in last 3 games)
Strengths:
Offensive boost with key playmakers stepping up.
Defensive improvements, especially with key additions to their perimeter defense.
Weaknesses:
Injury concerns impacting leadership and scoring ability.
Struggles in maintaining consistency, particularly on the road.
Denver Nuggets (42-24, 1-5 ATS in last 6 games)
Strengths:
Strong home-court advantage, making them tough to beat in Denver.
Elite rebounding and efficient scoring, with top-tier frontcourt play.
Weaknesses:
Recent struggles covering the spread despite winning games.
Prone to slow starts against teams with fast-paced offenses.
Spread Pick: Nuggets -14.0 (-110)
Analysis: Given the Lakers' injury struggles and Denver's home dominance, the Nuggets are positioned to cover the spread.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Total Points (O/U): Under 232.0 (-110)
Analysis: The under has hit in 6 of the last 7 meetings, and both teams have defensive strengths that could slow the pace.
Confidence Level: 6/10
Top Player Props
Nikola Jokic - Over 11.5 Rebounds (-110)
Analysis: Jokic dominates the glass, and against a depleted Lakers lineup, he should exceed this mark.
Confidence Level: 8/10
Parlay Play
Nuggets ML (-800)
Under 232.0 (-110)
Jokic Over 11.5 Rebounds (-110)
Odds: +280 (Approximate)
Confidence Level: 6/10 - Moderate-risk, small stake recommended.
Toronto Raptors vs. Utah Jazz
Game Overview
Tip-off: 6:30 PM (ET)
Venue: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT
Spread: Raptors +1.5 (-102) | Jazz -1.5 (-118)
Moneyline: Raptors +110 | Jazz -135
Total (O/U): 230.5 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
Key Betting Trends
Raptors: 23-43 SU, 39-26-1 ATS; averaging 110.9 PPG (22nd in the league) while allowing 115.7 PPG (22nd in the NBA).
Jazz: 15-51 SU, 36-30 ATS; averaging 112.6 PPG (20th in the league) while allowing 119.8 PPG (28th in the NBA).
Head-to-Head: Raptors won the last meeting 118-109 on March 7, 2025.
Matchup Breakdown
Toronto Raptors (23-43, 39-26-1 ATS)
Strengths:
Recent Form: Winning five of their last six games, showcasing improved performance.
Bench Contributions: Players like AJ Lawson and Jared Rhoden have stepped up, providing significant scoring off the bench.
Weaknesses:
Inconsistent Shooting: Despite recent wins, the team has struggled with shooting efficiency, particularly from the free-throw line.
Injuries: Key players such as RJ Barrett (questionable) and Scottie Barnes (questionable) have been dealing with injuries, but should be back in this one.
Utah Jazz (15-51, 36-30 ATS)
Strengths:
Home-Court Advantage: Despite their record, the Jazz have shown resilience at home.
Offensive Potential: Capable of high-scoring games, especially when key players are healthy.
Weaknesses:
Defense: Ranking 28th in points allowed per game, the Jazz struggle to contain opposing offenses.
Turnovers: Averaging 16.7 turnovers per game, leading to easy points for opponents.
Spread Pick: Raptors +2.5 (-102)
Analysis: The spread just. moved and the Raptors have a lot of guys back for this one.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Total Points (O/U): Over 230.5 (-110)
Analysis: Both teams have shown tendencies for high-scoring games, and defensive lapses could lead to a combined score exceeding the set total.
Confidence Level: 6/10
Top Player Props
Lauri Markkanen - Over 19.5 Points (-110)
Analysis: Markkanen has been a consistent scorer for the Jazz, especially after returning from injury.
Confidence Level: 8/10
Immanuel Quickley - Over 17.5 Points (-105)
Analysis: Quickley's scoring has been pivotal for the Raptors, particularly with other key players sidelined.
Confidence Level: 7/10
Parlay Play
Raptors ML (+110)
Over 230.5 (-110)
Immanuel Quickley - Over 17.5 Points
Odds: +450 (Approximate)
Confidence Level: 6/10 - Moderate-risk, small stake recommended.