🏀Final Four + NBA Picks Today - Saturday, 4/5

Tip-Off: 3:09 PM PST
Spread: Florida -2.5
Total: 159.5
Moneyline: Florida -160 / Auburn +135

Florida and Auburn know each other well, having clashed in the SEC earlier this season with Florida taking the win. The Gators come into this game riding a 10-game win streak and showing elite offensive efficiency, led by dynamic guard play and consistent three-point shooting.

Auburn has been strong defensively but enters this game with some injury concerns surrounding star forward Johni Broome. He’s expected to play but may not be at full strength. Auburn's speed and perimeter scoring can keep them in the game, but their depth may be tested.

Tip-Off: 5:49 PM PST
Spread: Duke -5.0
Total: 136.5
Moneyline: Duke -270 / Houston +220

This is the ultimate clash of styles—Duke brings talent, youth, and offensive firepower. Houston brings physicality, veteran leadership, and lockdown defense. Expect a slower, more physical game where every possession matters.

Houston’s ability to force turnovers and rebound can keep them in striking distance. Duke’s success hinges on staying poised under pressure and getting efficient offense from Cooper Flagg and company.

Time: 3:00 PM ET

Spread: Knicks -4.0 (-110) | Hawks +4.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Knicks -165 | Hawks +140
Total: 236.5 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
The Knicks might be getting Jalen Bruson back for this game. The Hawks have been inconsistent but are dangerous at home with Trae Young capable of taking over games. However, their defense remains a liability against structured offensive teams like New York. I was originally thinking Hawks with points at home makes a ton of sense here, but it’s hard with Bruson potentially back in the mix.

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Time: 7:00 PM ET

Spread: Grizzlies -2.0 (-110) | Pistons +2.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Grizzlies -130 | Pistons +110
Total: 240.0 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
Both teams are scrapping for playoff relevance. The Pistons have quietly been more competitive down the stretch, especially at home. The Grizzlies have leaned heavily on Ja Morant lately and they’ve just been struggling down the stretch. I feel like Detroit is the better side here if Cunningham is back.

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Time: 7:00 PM ET

Spread: Timberwolves -16.0 (-110) | 76ers +16.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Timberwolves -1500 | 76ers +775
Total: 225.0 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
The 76ers are in full tank mode with no Embiid, Maxey, or direction. Minnesota needs this win to improve their playoff seeding. This is a mismatch in every phase of the game, especially inside where the Wolves should dominate.

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Time: 8:00 PM ET

Spread: Bucks +1.0 (-110) | Heat -1.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Bucks -105 | Heat -115
Total: 214.5 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
Both teams will bring defensive intensity as they’re fighting for playoff position. Miami has been solid at home and gets a slight edge with the spread. The Bucks will rely on Giannis, and he should be dominant inside. The Bucks need to step up and play some defense here. I think this game is set pretty low on the over/under and we might see more scoring than projected.

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Time: 10:30 PM ET

Spread: Mavericks +8.5 (-105) | Clippers -8.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Mavericks +285 | Clippers -370
Total: 221.5 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
The Clippers are peaking at the right time, riding a strong defensive stretch. Dallas just played them yesterday and got decently blown out but without AD. I think Dallas fights back in this one and has an answer inside for Zubac who killed them. Too many points here and this will be a new game.

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