🕒 9:00 PM ET @ Marriott Center, Utah
💰 Moneyline: BYU -140 / Kansas +120 | Total: 148.5 (-110 over / -110 under)
Kansas has been shaky on the road, covering in just three of their nine away games. Meanwhile, BYU has been strong at home, where their offense thrives, and they’ve covered nine times this season. The Cougars’ efficient shooting and home-court advantage give them the edge in this matchup.
Key betting trends:
Kansas: 11-14 ATS, struggling in conference play (5-9 ATS).
BYU: 14-11 ATS, strong at home (9-5 ATS).
Head-to-Head: BYU won last season’s matchup by 8 points.
Matchup analysis
Kansas Jayhawks
Record: 17-8, 11-14 ATS
✅ Strong interior scoring (54.1% on two-pointers, 80th in NCAA).
✅ Tough defense (6th in opponent eFG%).
✅ Elite passing (7th in assists per game).
✅ Strong rebounding (26th in total rebounds per game).
✅ Three-point defense (9th in opponent 3PT%).
❌ Inconsistent perimeter shooting (34.3% from deep, 144th).
❌ Free throw struggles (71.8%, 196th in NCAA).
Key injuries: Zach Clemence (out - groin), Jamari McDowell (out - redshirt), Noah Shelby (out - undisclosed), Elmarko Jackson (out - knee).
BYU Cougars
Record: 17-8, 14-11 ATS
✅ High-powered offense (79.8 PPG, 41st in NCAA).
✅ Strong ball movement (16.8 APG, 16th in NCAA).
✅ Efficient shooting (10th in eFG%).
✅ Excellent defensive rebounding (12th in defensive rebounding %).
✅ Dangerous from deep (36.5% 3PT, 55th in NCAA).
❌ Inconsistent perimeter defense (opponents shoot 34.8% from three).
❌ Turnover issues (12.0 per game, 200th in NCAA).
Key injuries: None reported.
Picks & predictions
Final score: BYU 75 - Kansas 71
Outcome: BYU covers | Key factors: Home-court advantage, Kansas’ shooting inconsistency, and BYU’s offensive efficiency.
Spread pick | BYU -2.5 (-105) - Reasoning: Kansas has been shaky on the road (3-6 ATS as an away team). BYU’s offensive efficiency gives them the edge. Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10) |
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