🕒 9:00 PM ET @ Jon M. Huntsman Center, Salt Lake City, UT
💰 Moneyline: Utah -145 / Kansas State +125 | Total: 146 (-110 over / -110 under)
Kansas State has been tough against ranked teams, but their road record is brutal. Utah, on the other hand, dominates at home and controls the boards, which should give them the edge in a tight matchup. With both squads struggling at the free-throw line, late-game execution could get messy, but we trust Utah’s defense to handle business.
Key betting trends:
Kansas State: 14-11 ATS, strong against ranked teams (6-1 ATS).
Utah: 12-13 ATS, dominant at home (10-6 SU).
Head-to-Head: Teams have not met this season.
Matchup analysis
Kansas State Wildcats
Record: 13-12, 14-11 ATS
✅ Strong defensive rebounding (Top 50 in defensive rebounds per game)
✅ Efficient assist-to-turnover ratio (Top 100 nationally)
✅ Solid three-point shooting (34.4% from deep)
✅ Strong defensive pressure (Top 75 in steals per game)
✅ Clutch in tight games (5-2 vs. ranked opponents)
❌ Poor free throw shooting (68.0%, bottom 50 nationally)
❌ Inconsistent offense (Only 73.4 PPG, 162nd in NCAA)
❌ Weak on the road (2-7 in true road games)
Utah Utes
Record: 14-11, 12-13 ATS
✅ Elite passing team (Top 10 in assists per game)
✅ Strong rebounding presence (Top 25 in total rebounds per game)
✅ Tough interior defense (Opponents shoot just 46.1% on twos)
✅ Home-court advantage (10-6 at home, +14.6 scoring margin)
✅ Effective field goal defense (47.6%, Top 50 nationally)
❌ Poor free throw shooting (61.9%, near last in NCAA)
❌ High foul rate (Ranks 290th in personal fouls per game)
❌ Struggles against pressure defenses (Below average turnover rate)
Key injuries: I. Traore (out - undisclosed).
Picks & predictions
Final score: Utah 72 - Kansas State 68
Outcome: Utah covers | Key factors: Kansas State’s road struggles, Utah’s rebounding edge, and free throw concerns on both sides.
Spread pick | Utah -2.5 (-110) - Reasoning: The Utes have been dominant at home and hold a rebounding advantage over Kansas State. Their interior defense should force the Wildcats into tough shots. Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10) |
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