Liverpool vs Wolves (+2.0) - Best Picks & Analysis (2/16/25)

🕒 9:00 AM ET @ Anfield (Liverpool)

💰 Moneyline: Liverpool -550 / Wolves +1100 / Draw +675 | Total : 3.5 (EVEN over / -120 under)

Liverpool face Wolves in a potential blowout matchup, with Salah in top form and Wolves struggling defensively. Here’s a detailed betting breakdown, including key trends, picks, and confidence levels.

Moneyline: Liverpool to win

Final score prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Wolves

Small parlay: Salah to score, Liverpool to win, over 3.5 goals💡Liverpool’s attacking dominance and Wolves’ defensive struggles make this a strong parlay for value.

Our other bets (analysis below):

Liverpool should handle business comfortably, given their dominance over bottom-tier teams. Salah’s scoring form makes him a prime target for props, and while his record vs Wolves isn’t stellar, their weak defense presents a great opportunity.

Van Dijk’s shot props depend on set-piece volume, but Liverpool’s history of high corner counts against weaker teams makes it a viable play.

Wolves, meanwhile, have been scoring on the road, and Liverpool’s defense hasn’t kept a clean sheet in their last four home matches, making both teams to score a solid value bet.

This game sets up well for goals, and we expect an open match.

✅ Salah’s Form: 22 goals in 24 PL games this season.
⚠️ H2H vs Wolves: Just 5 goals in 13 games (2nd worst record vs any PL club).
📉 Wolves’ Defense: 52 goals conceded this season (4th worst in PL).

Despite past struggles vs Wolves, Salah is in career-best form, and Wolves’ backline is weak. This makes either of these props solid picks.

Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10)

📌 Liverpool’s corner strategy & shot potential:

⚠️ Risk Factor: Last game vs Wolves, Liverpool had 3 corners, and Van Dijk took 0 shots.

💡 This pick relies on Liverpool dominating possession, winning corners, and Van Dijk getting into set-piece opportunities.

Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (6/10)

🔥 Liverpool vs bottom 5 teams this season: ✅ 4-1 ✅ 5-0 ✅ 3-1 ✅ 2-1 ✅ 3-2

📌 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two have seen at least 3 goals scored, with several going higher.

💡 This game has serious blowout potential given Liverpool’s dominance over bottom-tier teams.

Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (6/10)

❌ Liverpool’s defensive issues: No clean sheet in their last 4 PL home games. Conceded goals to struggling Ipswich & Leicester.

⚡Wolves’ away scoring form: Scored in 4 of their last 5 away games. Found the net in 7 of their last 10 overall.

📊 Counterattack threat: Matheus Cunha is a solid shot on target prop candidate.

💡 Liverpool’s shaky defense at home + Wolves’ counterattacking style makes this a strong BTTS spot.

Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10)

📌 Why this bet? Salah only averages 0.66 fouls per game, but Liverpool’s high press could lead to tactical fouls. Wolves’ most fouled players (Cunha & Ait-Nouri) play on the left (Salah’s side), combining for 3.26 fouls won per 90. Salah has hit this in 4 of his last 5 PL games & his last 2 vs Wolves.

💡 A low-key bet that might fly under the radar, but given Wolves' left-side play, it holds sneaky value.

Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/10)

Liverpool should dominate, with Salah likely to shine and Wolves posing a mild threat on the counter. Both teams to score is a sneaky good value, and Van Dijk shot props will depend on set-piece volume.