Baseball Best Picks Today
Phillies -1.5 (-135) at White Sox
Why: This is the clearest edge on the board. Philly’s offense is rolling, and they get a soft White Sox pen. The ML is heavy, so runline gives a more reasonable number.
Bonus: Phillies rank top 3 in wRC+ vs. RHP in the past 30 days.
Guardians -1.5 (-135) vs. Rockies
Why: Colorado is brutal on the road and facing one of the best pitching environments today. Weather favors pitchers, and Cleveland should score plenty.
Lean: Under 9.0 (-120) is also worth considering.
Dodgers ML (-155) at Reds
Why: LA is undervalued here given the starting pitching edge and Cincy’s low contact rates vs. high-velocity arms.
Lean: Dodgers -1.5 (+105) if you want more juice.
Astros -1.5 (-120) vs. Nationals
Why: Framber Valdez vs. Brad Lord. That’s the handicap. Houston rolls. This might be the most lopsided SP duel of the day.
Bonus: Consider parlay legs with HOU ML (-250) for safer plays.
Braves -1.5 (-105) at Royals
Why: Atlanta’s offense vs. Rich Hill is a mismatch. But the Royals can be sneaky at home. This one is volatile but leans ATL big if their bats wake up early.