MLB Betting — Wednesday's Smartest Plays
Today’s 14-game slate is loaded with value — and weird energy. Big-name returns like Giancarlo Stanton and Mike Trout shake up offensive outlooks. Elite arms like Tarik Skubal take the mound. And sharp bettors are circling a few key mismatches.
✅ Free Picks: Start With These Two
1. Pirates vs. Tigers – NRFI (-160)
Tarik Skubal is one of the most dominant starters in MLB right now — a 1.99 ERA, 7-2 record, and he’s kept teams off the board in the 1st inning in 12 of 14 starts. Detroit also owns a 70% NRFI rate at home. This is a classic pitching + ballpark play.
📉 Line: -160 across major books
2. Logan O’Hoppe HR Prop (+390)
He’s cleared concussion protocol, and the data loves him:
25.5% HR rate — highest among eligible hitters
14 HR in 55 games — better pace than Trout
+390 odds — undervalued relative to power metrics
With Trout easing back into DH duties (.273 average as DH vs. .136 in OF), O’Hoppe becomes the better value play by far.