NBA Picks Today - Sunday, February 2nd
🏀 Best NBA Bets for February 2, 2025
Here are the 6 best picks for today's NBA action, including 4 player props and 2 game bets.
🎯 Best Player Prop Bets
✅ 1. Donovan Mitchell Over 23.5 Points (-125) or Mitchell assists over
Mitchell is averaging 30+ PPG over his last five games.
The Mavericks rank 18th in opponent 3PT defense (36%) and are missing Luka and multiple defenders.
Cleveland has covered -12 in three straight games, and Mitchell should lead the scoring.
Mitchell has gone over last 5 games on assists also
✅ 2. Damian Lillard Over 3.5 Threes (-110)
Lillard has averaged 3.3 threes per game over the last 10 games.
Memphis struggles against perimeter shooters (allowing 14 3PM per game, 18th in NBA).
With Morant out, Memphis may not be able to apply as much defensive pressure on Lillard.
✅ 3. Jalen Duren Over 11.5 Rebounds (-115)
The Bulls rank 27th in opponent rebounding, making this a great matchup for Duren.
He’s been dominant on the glass, averaging 12.3 RPG over his last 10 games.
With LaVine out, there will be fewer second-chance opportunities for Chicago.
✅ 4. Jaylen Brown Over 5.5 Rebounds (+105)
Brown has grabbed 6+ rebounds in his last three road games.
The 76ers rank last in the NBA in rebound percentage (46.9%), meaning Brown should have a big game on the boards.
📌 Best Game Bets
✅ 5. Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers – Over 224.5 (-110)
The OVER has hit in 7 of the last 10 games for both teams.
Boston's elite offense (117.3 PPG, 5th in NBA) vs. a weakened 76ers defense (missing Embiid & George).
The Celtics have hit this number in their last four games, and without Embiid, the 76ers should give up a lot of points.
✅ 6. Milwaukee Bucks -3 (-110) vs. Memphis Grizzlies
The Bucks have won six straight home games, covering five of them.
The Grizzlies are 8-2 SU in their last 10 vs. Milwaukee, but without Ja Morant, they lack their best playmaker.
Milwaukee is playing much better at home and should control this game with Giannis and Lillard both healthy.
Full Game Breakdowns & More Picks
Chicago Bulls vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Analysis & Picks (2/2/25)
📍 When: 12:00 PM ET
📍 Where: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
📍 TV: NBA League Pass
📍 Betting Odds:
Spread: Bulls +5.5 (-105) | Pistons -5.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Bulls +185 | Pistons -225
Total: O/U 233.5 (-110)
Game Preview & Key Storylines
The Chicago Bulls (3-7 in their last 10) take on the Detroit Pistons (5-5 in their last 10) in an early Saturday matchup. Both teams are looking to build on their recent victories, with the Bulls snapping a losing streak against the Raptors and the Pistons taking down the Mavericks in their last outing.
Chicago has dominated this matchup historically, winning 18 of the last 20 meetings against Detroit, including a 122-112 victory earlier this season.
Detroit has been competitive despite their struggles, with Cade Cunningham playing at an All-Star level, but they remain inconsistent on both ends of the floor.
The Bulls’ defense has struggled, allowing 119.8 PPG (29th in the NBA), but Detroit’s offense isn’t explosive enough to fully capitalize.
The Pistons are on a six-game homestand, and their defense has improved, allowing 109.4 PPG in January.
Injury Report
🔴 Bulls:
Zach LaVine (OUT – personal)
Alex Caruso (PROBABLE – foot)
🔴 Pistons:
Jaden Ivey (OUT – personal)
LaVine’s absence means more offensive responsibility for Coby White and Nikola Vucevic.
Statistical Breakdown & Matchup Edge
Chicago Bulls (CHICAGO OFFENSE vs. DETROIT DEFENSE)
📊 Bulls Offense (Rank) vs. Pistons Defense (Rank)
PPG: 116.5 (#6) vs. Opp PPG: 113.2 (#17)
Effective FG%: 55.3% (#10) vs. Opp EFG%: 54.4% (#19)
3PT Shooting: 37.2% (#9) vs. Opp 3PT Defense: 37.2% (#27)
Assists Per Game: 29.1 (#3) vs. Opp APG Allowed: 25.4 (#7)
🔎 Edge: Bulls slightly, but no LaVine means a less dynamic offense.
Detroit Pistons (DETROIT OFFENSE vs. CHICAGO DEFENSE)
📊 Pistons Offense (Rank) vs. Bulls Defense (Rank)
PPG: 112.0 (#17) vs. Opp PPG: 119.8 (#29)
Fastbreak PPG: 18.1 (#2) vs. Opp Fastbreak PPG: 15.7 (#19)
Assists Per Game: 25.3 (#18) vs. Opp APG Allowed: 28.9 (#29)
🔎 Edge: Pistons, but they struggle to close games.
Key Betting Trends
✅ Bulls Trends:
Bulls are 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10 games vs. Detroit.
8 of the last 10 Bulls games have gone UNDER the total.
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
✅ Pistons Trends:
Detroit is 10-6 in January, covering in 7 of those games.
Pistons are 5-0 ATS after a home win.
The favorite has covered in 4 of the last 5 Pistons home games.
✅ Head-to-Head Trends:
The Bulls have won 18 of the last 20 meetings.
The UNDER has hit in 10 of the last 11 day games for Detroit.
The last two games between these teams went under 234.
Best Bets & Picks
✅ Bulls +5.5 (-105) – Chicago’s dominance in this matchup makes them a solid underdog play. Even with their struggles, they tend to perform well against Detroit.
✅ Under 233.5 (-110) – Both teams play at a slower pace, and Detroit’s defense has improved significantly in recent weeks. The UNDER has hit in 10 of Detroit’s last 11 day games.
✅ Cade Cunningham Under 28.5 Points (-110) – He’s been on fire, but he has yet to hit 29+ points in any of his 6 career games against Chicago.
🔹 Final Score Prediction: Pistons 112, Bulls 108
Prop Bets to Consider
🔹 Coby White Over 20.5 Points (-104) – With LaVine out, he will take on a larger scoring load.
🔹 Nikola Vucevic Under 20.5 Points (-109) – He’s averaging just 13.4 PPG in his last five road games.
🔹 Jalen Duren Over 11.5 Rebounds (-115) – Chicago allows a ton of rebounds, ranking 27th in opponent rebounding.
Same-Game Parlay (+525 Odds)
💰 Bulls +5.5
💰 Under 233.5
💰 Cade Cunningham Under 28.5 Points
💰 Coby White Over 20.5 Points
Final Thoughts & Betting Strategy
This game is closer than the spread suggests. The Pistons are playing well at home, but Chicago has dominated them in past matchups. The UNDER looks strong given trends in day games and Detroit’s defensive improvement.
If you’re looking for a safer play, go with Under 233.5. If you’re willing to back an underdog, Bulls +5.5 is a solid bet given historical trends.
🔥 Best Bet: Under 233.5 (-110)
🚀 Underdog Play: Bulls +5.5 (-105)
🎯 Prop Bet: Cade Cunningham Under 28.5 Points (-110)
Let me know if you need more insights! 🚀
Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Analysis & Picks (2/2/25)
📍 When: 12:30 PM ET
📍 Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
📍 TV: NBA League Pass
📍 Betting Odds:
Spread: Mavericks +13 (-110) | Cavaliers -13 (-110)
Moneyline: Mavericks +500 | Cavaliers -750
Total: O/U 236 (-110)
Game Preview & Key Storylines
The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-9), boasting the best record in the Eastern Conference, host the Dallas Mavericks (26-23), who are struggling with injuries and trying to maintain their playoff positioning. Dallas just pulled off a massive trade getting rid of their best player and acquiring AD.
Cleveland is on a three-game win streak, crushing the Atlanta Hawks 137-115 in their last outing.
Dallas lost to the Detroit Pistons 117-102, struggling without key players like Luka Dončić and Dereck Lively II.
The Cavs have won five straight against the Mavs, including a 134-122 win on Jan 3rd.
Cleveland is 23-3 at home, while Dallas is just 12-13 on the road.
Injury Report
🔴 Mavericks:
Anthony Davis (OUT)
Dereck Lively II (OUT – ankle)
Dwight Powell (OUT – hip)
Maxi Kleber (OUT – foot)
Kyrie Irving (QUESTIONABLE – shoulder)
Daniel Gafford (QUESTIONABLE – ankle)
P.J. Washington (QUESTIONABLE – knee)
🔴 Cavaliers:
Isaac Okoro (OUT – shoulder)
Dean Wade (OUT – knee)
Caris LeVert (QUESTIONABLE – wrist)
Craig Porter Jr. (QUESTIONABLE – illness)
Dallas is severely shorthanded, traded Dončić, and missing Lively, and Powell while Kyrie Irving is a game-time decision.
Statistical Breakdown & Matchup Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers (CAVS OFFENSE vs. MAVS DEFENSE)
📊 Cavs Offense (Rank) vs. Mavs Defense (Rank)
PPG: 122.2 (#2) vs. Opp PPG: 112.7 (#16)
Effective FG%: 58.8% (#1) vs. Opp EFG%: 52.5% (#6)
3PT Shooting: 39.2% (#1) vs. Opp 3PT Defense: 36.0% (#18)
Assists Per Game: 29.1 (#4) vs. Opp APG Allowed: 26.2 (#13)
🔎 Edge: Cavs – Top-ranked shooting team vs. a banged-up Mavs defense.
Dallas Mavericks (MAVS OFFENSE vs. CAVS DEFENSE)
📊 Mavs Offense (Rank) vs. Cavs Defense (Rank)
PPG: 115.6 (#10) vs. Opp PPG: 112.0 (#12)
Effective FG%: 55.3% (#9) vs. Opp EFG%: 53.5% (#10)
FT Rate: 0.266 (#4) vs. Opp FT Rate: 0.233 (#10)
Assists Per Game: 25.2 (#20) vs. Opp APG Allowed: 25.8 (#10)
🔎 Edge: Cavs – Mavs offense is inconsistent, and without Luka, they lack playmaking.
Key Betting Trends
✅ Cavaliers Trends:
Cavs are 23-3 at home (best home record in the East).
Cavs have won 5 straight against the Mavs.
Cavs are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.
Cavs have covered -12 in 3 straight games.
✅ Mavericks Trends:
Dallas is just 4-6 in their last 10 games.
Mavs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
The Over has hit in 6 of the last 8 Mavs games.
✅ Head-to-Head Trends:
Cavs have won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
The Over has hit in the last 3 meetings.
Best Bets & Picks
✅ Cavaliers -13 (-110) – Cleveland is dominant at home, and with Dallas missing key players, this could be another blowout win for the Cavs.
✅ Under 236 (-110) – Dallas is missing Luka and possibly Kyrie, meaning their offense could struggle. Cleveland’s defense is top-tier, so expect a lower-scoring game.
✅ Donovan Mitchell Over 23.5 Points (-125) – Mitchell has been on fire, averaging nearly 30 PPG in his last five games. With the Mavs' weak defense, he should clear this easily.
🔹 Final Score Prediction: Cavaliers 122, Mavericks 105
Prop Bets to Consider
🔹 Jarrett Allen Over 10.5 Rebounds (-147) – Dallas is missing their top rebounders, giving Allen a great matchup.
🔹 Kyrie Irving Under 26.5 Points (-114) – If he plays, he’ll face a strong defense, and he’s averaging just 22.4 PPG in his last five.
🔹 Darius Garland Over 7.5 Assists (+112) – Cavs should dominate offensively, and Garland will be setting up teammates all game.
Final Thoughts & Betting Strategy
Cleveland has all the advantages here – they’re healthy, at home, and playing elite basketball. Meanwhile, Dallas is without Luka, Lively, and potentially Kyrie, meaning they’ll struggle to score.
If you want the safest play, take Cavs -13. If you prefer a lower-risk bet, Under 236 is a great option considering Dallas’ injury situation.
🔥 Best Bet: Cavs -13 (-110)
🚀 Safe Play: Under 236 (-110)
🎯 Prop Bet: Donovan Mitchell Over 23.5 Points (-125) Also love Mitchell assists over 4.5.
Let me know if you need any additional insights! 🚀
Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers – Betting Analysis & Prediction (2/2/25 - 3:00 PM ET)
Game Odds
Spread: Celtics -11.5 (-105) | 76ers +11.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Celtics -550 | 76ers +390
Total Points: Over 224.5 (-110) | Under 224.5 (-110)
Team Performance & Key Stats
Boston Celtics (34-15, 19-29-1 ATS)
Points per Game: 117.3 (#5)
Opponent Points per Game: 108.4 (#5)
Average Score Margin: +8.8 (#3)
Shooting Efficiency: 1.165 (#8)
Effective FG%: 55.5% (#8)
Three-Point Shooting: 36.5% (#11) | 3PM per Game: 17.7 (#1)
Defensive Rating: 108.4 (#5)
Fastbreak Points per Game: 11.9 (#30)
Opponents’ Effective FG%: 52.4% (#2)
Strengths:
Elite three-point shooting
Strong defensive metrics
Low turnover rate (11.8 per game, #2)
Weaknesses:
Struggles in transition offense (last in fastbreak points)
Limited points in the paint (41.8 per game, #30)
Philadelphia 76ers (19-28, 19-28 ATS)
Points per Game: 109.0 (#25)
Opponent Points per Game: 112.6 (#15)
Average Score Margin: -3.5 (#23)
Shooting Efficiency: 1.125 (#20)
Effective FG%: 52.9% (#21)
Three-Point Shooting: 35.1% (#20)
Defensive Rating: 112.6 (#15)
Fastbreak Points per Game: 14.6 (#20)
Opponents’ Effective FG%: 56.9% (#30)
Strengths:
High free throw attempt rate (0.268 FTA/FGA, #2)
Forces turnovers (opponents’ TO% 15.2%, #3)
Weaknesses:
Poor defense (last in opponent shooting efficiency)
Lowest rebounding team in the league (30th in total rebounds per game)
Injuries to key players
Key Injury Report
Boston Celtics
No injuries reported
Philadelphia 76ers
Joel Embiid (C) - OUT (Knee)
Paul George (SF) - OUT (Illness)
Caleb Martin (SF) - Questionable (Hip)
Kenyon Martin Jr. (SF) - OUT (Foot)
Andre Drummond (C) - Questionable (Toe)
Jared McCain (PG) - OUT for Season (Meniscus)
Impact of Injuries:
Embiid’s absence is massive, given his 24.4 PPG, 7.9 RPG, and interior presence.
Paul George’s absence further weakens perimeter defense and secondary scoring.
76ers are heavily reliant on Tyrese Maxey to carry the offense.
Recent Performance
Boston Celtics – Last 10 Games
Record: 6-4
Points Scored: 114.5
Points Allowed: 107.5
Shooting %: 45.3%
Rebounds per Game: 43.5
Key Players:
Jayson Tatum: 26.7 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 5.5 APG
Jaylen Brown: 23.4 PPG, 6.0 RPG
Kristaps Porzingis: 19.3 PPG, 7.1 RPG
Philadelphia 76ers – Last 10 Games
Record: 4-6
Points Scored: 115.1
Points Allowed: 119.6
Shooting %: 47.9%
Rebounds per Game: 35.3
Key Players:
Tyrese Maxey: 30.1 PPG, 6.1 APG
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 14.4 PPG, 6.2 RPG
Guerschon Yabusele: 10.8 PPG, 5.5 RPG
Maxey has been on fire, averaging 35.4 PPG in his last five home games.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
Celtics have won 6 of the last 10 matchups.
76ers won the last meeting 118-114 on Christmas.
Boston is 19-29-1 ATS this season.
Philadelphia is 19-28 ATS this season.
Celtics have covered in 6 of their last 7 games against the 76ers in Philly.
76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as underdogs.
Over 224.5 has hit in 7 of the last 10 games for both teams.
Best Bets & Picks
🏆1. Over 224.5 Points (-110)
The Sixers have hit this total in 7 of their last 10 games.
The Celtics' last 4 games have gone over this total.
Without Embiid, Philadelphia’s defense takes a massive hit, leading to more scoring opportunities for Boston.
🏆 2. Tyrese Maxey Over 30.5 Points (-105)
Maxey has averaged 35.4 PPG in his last five home games.
With Embiid and George out, Maxey will take most of the offensive load.
The Celtics’ defense is elite, but Maxey has shown he can still score against strong teams.
🏆3. Jaylen Brown Over 5.5 Rebounds (+105)
Brown has grabbed 6+ rebounds in his last 3 road games.
The 76ers rank last in the NBA in rebound percentage (46.9%), making this an easy spot for Brown to clean the glass.
Final Score Prediction
📌 Boston Celtics 118 - Philadelphia 76ers 110
📌Over 224.5 is the best play probably.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks – Betting Analysis & Prediction (2/2/25 - 5:30 PM ET)
Game Odds
Spread: Grizzlies +3 (-110) | Bucks -3 (-110)
Moneyline: Grizzlies +125 | Bucks -145
Total Points: Over 246.5 (-115) | Under 246.5 (-105)
Team Performance & Key Stats
Milwaukee Bucks (30-18, 24-24 ATS)
Points per Game: 114.2 (#12)
Opponent Points per Game: 111.4 (#9)
Average Score Margin: +2.8 (#11)
Shooting Efficiency: 1.174 (#7)
Effective FG%: 56.5% (#5)
Three-Point Shooting: 38.6% (#2)
Defensive Rating: 111.4 (#9)
Fastbreak Points per Game: 13.1 (#27)
Strengths:
Elite three-point shooting (38.6%, #2 in NBA)
Strong interior defense (2nd in opponent points in the paint)
Defensive rebounding (35.9 per game, #2)
Weaknesses:
Poor offensive rebounding (8.6 per game, #30)
Low free throw percentage (73.4%, #29)
Struggles forcing turnovers (13 per game, #26)
Memphis Grizzlies (27-22, 26-23 ATS)
Points per Game: 123.2 (#1)
Opponent Points per Game: 115.7 (#23)
Average Score Margin: +7.5 (#4)
Shooting Efficiency: 1.184 (#4)
Effective FG%: 56.2% (#6)
Three-Point Shooting: 37.3% (#8)
Defensive Rating: 115.7 (#23)
Fastbreak Points per Game: 16.5 (#8)
Strengths:
Best offense in the league (123.2 PPG)
Top rebounding team (56.7 RPG, #2)
Strong interior scoring (56 PPG in the paint, #2)
Weaknesses:
High turnover rate (16.6 per game, #30)
Weak perimeter defense (opponents shoot 34.8% from three)
Defensive struggles late in games (29.6 opponent PPG in the 4th, #29)
Key Injury Report
Milwaukee Bucks
Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF): Probable (Patella)
Damian Lillard (PG): Probable (Groin)
Khris Middleton (SF): Probable (Ankle)
Bobby Portis (PF): Out (Personal)
Brook Lopez (C): Probable (Back)
Taurean Prince (PF): Probable (Patella)
Memphis Grizzlies
Ja Morant (PG): Doubtful (Shoulder)
Marcus Smart (PG): Out (Finger)
Vince Williams Jr. (SG): Out (Ankle)
Cam Spencer (SG): Out (Thumb)
Impact of Injuries:
Grizzlies missing Ja Morant severely hurts their offensive firepower.
Bucks' stars (Giannis, Lillard, Middleton) are all probable, meaning they should be available.
Memphis' backcourt is extremely thin with Morant and Smart out, which puts more pressure on Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr.
Recent Performance
Milwaukee Bucks – Last 10 Games
Record: 6-4
Points Scored: 120.8
Points Allowed: 117.1
Shooting %: 50.3%
Rebounds per Game: 45.8
Key Players:
Giannis Antetokounmpo: 32.2 PPG, 13.2 RPG
Damian Lillard: 25.3 PPG, 7.0 APG, 3.3 threes made (40.2% 3P)
Khris Middleton: 14.5 PPG, 4.5 APG
Memphis Grizzlies – Last 10 Games
Record: 8-2
Points Scored: 124.4
Points Allowed: 118.9
Shooting %: 50.1%
Rebounds per Game: 47.4
Key Players:
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 23.3 PPG, 6.9 RPG
Desmond Bane: 20.5 PPG, 6.6 APG
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