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What up!?! Yesterday was hot as hell for my NBA calls. I’m still dialing in college basketball — lucky we got some time until March Madness. Premier League also started the day off pretty well. Let’s get that damn money today!
Guys, this is a really long email because you know I’m crazy and went into three sports hard. If you can’t read it all for some reason — just go to StackDecks.com — the post will be there and if you’re premium or free you might have to login, but you can see it all there!
LET’S GET MONEYYYY!💰
🏀NBA Betting Guide – Feb 26
Jumping on all the NBA games, except I’m skipping the Spurs/Rockets — still waiting for that line to come out.
Boston Celtics (-3.5) vs. Detroit Pistons | O/U 225.5
Boston is in full playoff-tune-up mode—the defense is locked in, the offense is humming, and Tatum is playing at an elite level. The Pistons have been surprisingly competitive, but let’s be real: they don’t have the depth or experience to handle Boston for four quarters. Expect the Celtics to clamp down in the second half and cover the small number.
Pick: Celtics -3.5
Over/Under + Player Prop [PREMIUM ONLY]
Total: Under 225.5
🎯 Player Prop: Jayson Tatum Over 27.5 Points (-110)
Philadelphia 76ers (+9.5) vs. New York Knicks | O/U 232.0
Philly is in freefall trying to keep that top 6 draft pick, and New York looking solid. The Knicks are top five in net rating over the last month, and Karl-Anthony Towns has settled in beautifully next to Brunson. The Sixers’ defense is non-existent, and without a healthy Embiid, they’ve got no chance. New York rolls in this one — they steamroll shit teams and get steamrolled by good teams :).
Pick: Knicks -9.5
Over/Under + Player Prop [PREMIUM ONLY]
Total: Over 232.0
🎯 Player Prop: Jalen Brunson Over 8.5 Assists (-105)
Portland Trail Blazers (-6) vs. Washington Wizards | O/U 229.0
This is a battle of not great teams, but Portland at least has a pulse. The Wizards? Things have been ugly but they’ve got some vets hitting the court now with Middleton, Smart, and more. Simons should have all the space he needs to cook from deep.
Pick: Blazers -6
Over/Under + Player Prop [PREMIUM ONLY]
Total: Under 229.0
🎯 Player Prop: Anfernee Simons Over 3.5 Threes (-120)
Toronto Raptors (+9.5) vs. Indiana Pacers | O/U 237.5
The Pacers are an offensive juggernaut, and Toronto doesn’t have the firepower to keep up. The Raptors have been leaky defensively, and Indiana is the last team you want to see when that’s the case. Expect a high-scoring blowout, with Siakam being the only Raptor doing anything productive on the glass.
Pick: Pacers -9.5
Over/Under + Player Prop [PREMIUM ONLY]
Total: Over 237.5
🎯 Player Prop: Pascal Siakam Over 7.5 Rebounds (-110)
Atlanta Hawks (+1.5) vs. Miami Heat | O/U 229.5
Atlanta can’t defend, but they can score. Miami controls tempo very well. The Heat’s physicality will grind this game into a slower, methodical battle, which favors Miami. They can’t be getting into a shootout with the Hawks. Trae still gets his dimes, but the Heat pull it out with some defense.
Pick: Heat -1.5
Over/Under + Player Prop [PREMIUM ONLY]
Total: Under 229.5
🎯 Player Prop: Trae Young Over 9.5 Assists (-110)
Oklahoma City Thunder (-17) vs. Brooklyn Nets | O/U 216.5
OKC has been destroying teams, but 17 points is too many on the road against a fiesty Nets team. Yes, the Nets are still not a great basketball team, but they fight hard, play defense, and can sneak in a backdoor cover. Shai still probably goes nuclear, but this game stays closer than expected.
Pick: Nets +17
Over/Under + Player Prop [PREMIUM ONLY]
Total: Under 216.5
🎯 Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points (-105)
Los Angeles Clippers (-8) vs. Chicago Bulls | O/U 229.0
The Clippers are too inconsistent to trust with a big number, and I prefer them as an underdog vs. a big favorite on the road. Chicago has been frisky at home, and Giddey has been an absolute monster lately. The Bulls keep it close, and this one turns into a shootout late.
Pick: Bulls +8
Over/Under + Player Prop [PREMIUM ONLY]
Total: Over 229.0
🎯 Player Prop: Josh Giddey Over 22.5 Points (-115)
Sacramento Kings (-9) vs. Utah Jazz | O/U 236.5
The Jazz aren’t winning this one, but they cover at home. Utah’s offense still puts up numbers, and the Kings’ defense is leaky enough to let them hang around. I like what Utah has going on inside and the Kings might struggle with those taller guys down low.
Pick: Jazz +9
Over/Under + Player Prop [PREMIUM ONLY]
Total: Over 236.5
🎯 Player Prop: Walker Kessler Over 21.5 PR (-110)
🔥Best NBA Picks Today: Full Summary💰 [PREMIUM ONLY]
✔ Celtics -3.5
✔ Knicks -9.5
✔ Blazers -6
✔ Pacers -9.5
✔ Heat -1.5
✔ Nets +17
✔ Bulls +8
✔ Jazz +9
✔ Tatum O27.5 Points
✔ Brunson O8.5 Assists
✔ Simons O3.5 Threes
✔ Siakam O7.5 Rebounds
✔ Trae O9.5 Assists
✔ SGA O31.5 Points
✔ Giddey O22.5 Points
📈 Let's get paid. 🚀
🏀College Basketball Picks – Feb 26, 2025
Michigan State (#8) (-3.5) vs. Maryland (#16) | O/U 150.0
Pick: Michigan State -3.5
Total: Under 150.0
Michigan State's discipline and defensive efficiency should be enough to control this game, even on the road. Maryland has talent, but the Spartans' experience gives them the edge. Expect a slower tempo, keeping this game under the total.
Mississippi (+12.5) vs. Auburn (#1) | O/U 153.5
Pick: Mississippi +12.5
Total: Over 153.5
Auburn is the top team in the nation for a reason, but Mississippi has the offensive firepower to keep it interesting. Both teams push the pace, and this should be a high-scoring affair. Taking the points in what could be a closer-than-expected game.
Remaining College Basketball Top 25 Picks for PREMIUM ONLY
Notre Dame (+14.0) vs. Clemson (#13) | O/U 136.0
Pick: Notre Dame +14.0
Total: Under 136.0
Clemson thrives on defense, but Notre Dame plays a slow, methodical game that can keep them within the number. A defensive battle favors the under in what could be a grind-it-out type of game.
Vanderbilt (+7.5) vs. Texas A&M (#12) | O/U 146.0
Pick: Texas A&M -7.5
Total: Over 146.0
Texas A&M is rolling and should take care of business at home. Vanderbilt’s defense is vulnerable against efficient offenses like the Aggies, making this a good spot for A&M to cover. With both teams able to score, expect this game to go over.
Rice (+13.5) vs. Memphis (#18) | O/U 149.0
Pick: Memphis -13.5
Total: Under 149.0
Memphis’ athleticism and defense should be too much for Rice, and this game could be out of reach early. The Tigers control the tempo and keep this one from turning into a track meet, pushing the under.
Kentucky (#17) (-3.0) vs. Oklahoma | O/U 162.5
Pick: Kentucky -3.0
Total: Over 162.5
This is shaping up to be a fast-paced, high-scoring matchup. Kentucky has the offensive firepower to win on the road and should be able to control the pace. The over looks strong in what should be an up-tempo shootout.
St. John's (#7) (-8.0) vs. Butler | O/U 150.0
Pick: St. John's -8.0
Total: Under 150.0
St. John’s pressure defense will be the difference here, forcing Butler into mistakes and extending the lead. The Red Storm will dictate the tempo, but their defense should keep this from becoming a high-scoring game.
Utah (+15.0) vs. Arizona (#22) | O/U 152.5
Pick: Utah +15.0
Total: Over 152.5
Arizona’s offense is elite, but Utah has enough to make this one interesting. The Utes should be able to stay within the number, and the pace of play makes the over a solid look in what should be an entertaining matchup.
BYU (#25) (-5.0) vs. Arizona State | O/U 149.0
Pick: BYU -5.0
Total: Under 149.0
BYU’s discipline and defensive intensity should be the difference here. Arizona State’s offense has been inconsistent, and BYU has the edge in execution. Look for a lower-scoring game with BYU covering.
🏆 Premier League Picks – Feb 26, 2025
⚽ Brentford (-0.5) vs. Everton | O/U 2.75
✅ Pick: Brentford -0.5
✅ Total: Under 2.75
Brentford comes into this one on a high after a dominant away win. Back at home, they should handle an Everton side that has been gritty but lacks firepower. Expect a tight, defensive battle, with Brentford edging it.
⚽ Manchester United (-1.0) vs. Ipswich Town | O/U 2.75
✅ Pick: Manchester United -1.0
✅ Total: Under 2.75
United’s been shaky at Old Trafford, but Ipswich has been even worse on the road. This isn’t going to be pretty, but United should grind out a win. The under looks strong with both teams struggling to find consistency in attack.
Josh’s Best Picks 👇
1. Man Utd to Win & Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Man Utd concedes 1.72 goals per game at home.
Ipswich has scored in their last 3 away PL games (including vs. Liverpool) but hasn’t won away in 4 games.
United, coming off a win at Everton, should have confidence going into this match.
🔹 Confidence: 8/10
2. Over 2.5 Cards & Under 3.5 Goals
Ipswich games average 3 goals; United games average 2.5.
Both teams struggle offensively, relying on opponent errors for goals.
Ipswich averages 2.5 cards per game, United 2.3, with both teams committing over 11 fouls per match.
🔹 Confidence: 7/10
3. Alejandro Garnacho – 4+ Shots, 2+ Shots on Target
Garnacho is United’s best attacking option with Hojlund & Zirkzee in poor form.
He met this line vs. Spurs and will likely take advantage of Ipswich’s weak defense (3rd most goals conceded, allowing 5.7 shots on target per game).
Leads United in shots on target per 90 (1.5) and will get more chances due to injuries.
🔹 Confidence: 7/10
4. Omari Hutchinson – 2+ Shots
Great value bet. United's defense is vulnerable, conceding 11.3 shots per game.
Hutchinson averages 1.4 shots per game and had 4 shots vs. Spurs in his last match.
🔹 Confidence: 7/10
Final Predictions:
Moneyline (ML): Man Utd
Score Prediction: 2-1
Parlay Option:
✅ Garnacho 3+ shots
✅ Hutchinson 1+ shot
✅ Over 2.5 cards
✅ Man Utd to win
⚠️ Betting Note: Be cautious when combining BTTS + United Win + Under 3.5 goals, as you’re essentially betting on a 2-1 scoreline. Consider under 4.5 goals instead.
The Other Premier League Picks are for PREMIUM ONLY
⚽ Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal
⚽ Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City
⚽ Liverpool vs. Newcastle United
⚽ Nottingham Forest (+0.5) vs. Arsenal | O/U 2.25
✅ Pick: Nottingham Forest +0.5
✅ Total: Under 2.25
Arsenal is limping into this one with key injuries and a bad loss behind them. Meanwhile, Forest has been rock-solid at home and will make this a war. Taking the points and expecting a gritty, low-scoring match.
Josh’s Best Picks 👇
1. Nottingham Forest/Draw (Double Chance)
Forest is strong at home, unbeaten in their last 7 home matches.
Their last 3 losses came away from home.
Arsenal has lost 2 of their last 3 games across all competitions and is dealing with injuries to key players.
Forest has beaten Arsenal at home in 2 of the last 3 meetings.
🔹 Confidence: 8/10
2. Morgan Gibbs-White – 2+ Shots
Averages 2.1 shots per 90 minutes and has hit this line in 5 of his last 6 games.
Arsenal has conceded nearly 10 shots per game in their last 6 matches.
Takes set pieces (free kicks), giving him additional shot opportunities.
🔹 Confidence: 7/10
3. Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Forest has scored in their last 10 home games and conceded in 2 of their last 3.
Arsenal has scored in their last 10 away games.
Despite missing Saka, Jesus, and Martinelli, Arsenal should still score in a must-win match to stay in the title race.
🔹 Confidence: 8/10
Final Predictions:
Moneyline (ML): Nottingham Forest/Draw (Double Chance)
Score Prediction: 2-2 or 2-1
Small Parlay Option:
✅ Forest to have 3+ corners
✅ Arsenal to get over 0.5 cards
✅ Both teams to score
✅ Chris Wood to have a shot on target
⚽ Tottenham Hotspur (0, +0.5) vs. Manchester City | O/U 3.5
✅ Pick: Tottenham 0, +0.5
✅ Total: Over 3.5
Spurs torched City 4-0 earlier this season and are playing with confidence again. City is still dangerous, but their defense has been leaking goals. This one turns into a shootout, with Tottenham doing enough to cover.
Josh’s Best Picks 👇
1. Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals
Tottenham leads the league in total goal average (3.5 per game), with City in 3rd (3.4).
Spurs' home games see even more goals (3.9 per game), with 10 of their last 13 home matches hitting 3+ goals.
9 of City's last 13 away games have also seen over 2.5 goals.
Haaland could return from injury, increasing goal-scoring potential.
🔹 Confidence: 8/10
2. Omar Marmoush – 3 Shots, 1+ Shot on Target
Has hit this in his last 2 games, with 8 shots and 5 on target.
If Haaland doesn’t play, Marmoush will likely be City's primary attacking threat.
Open, attacking game expected.
🔹 Confidence: 7/10
3. Spurs to Have 4+ Corners
Spurs' home games average a league-high 8.4 corners per game, with at least 5 in every home match this season.
City has allowed 4+ corners in 9 of their 13 away matches.
Expect an end-to-end game with plenty of attacking action.
🔹 Confidence: 7/10
4. Omar Marmoush & Dejan Kulusevski to Commit a Foul
Spurs draw 12.8 fouls per game at home.
Marmoush has committed a foul in all 4 of his games for City and is expected to play centrally, where 45% of City’s fouls came from in the reverse fixture.
Spurs' midfielders have drawn over 30 fouls in their last 8 home games.
Kulusevski has committed a foul in 13 of his last 15 matches (2+ fouls in 7 of them) and had 3 against City earlier in the season.
🔹 Confidence: 7/10
Final Predictions:
Moneyline (ML): Avoid – City/Draw
Score Prediction: 2-2
Small Parlay Option:
✅ Marmoush & Kulusevski to have 2+ shots
✅ Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
✅ Over 2.5 goals
✅ 1+ goal in each half
⚽ Liverpool (-1.0) vs. Newcastle United | O/U 3.25
✅ Pick: Liverpool -1.0
✅ Total: Over 3.25
Liverpool just put City in their place and now return to Anfield, where they’ve been dominant. Newcastle’s defense is in shambles, and the Reds should take full advantage. Expect goals and a comfortable Liverpool win.
Josh’s Best Picks👇
1. Liverpool to Win & Salah to Have a Shot on Target
Salah has been outstanding this season and is expected to score again.
Liverpool has won 9 of 12 home games this season.
Newcastle has won only 6 of 13 away games and recently lost 4-0 to Man City.
Salah averages 1.96 shots on target per 90 and had 2 goals & 4 shots on target in the reverse fixture.
Liverpool averages 6.5 shots on target per game.
🔹 Confidence: 9/10
2. Alexander Isak – 1+ Shot on Target
Averages 1.6 shots on target per 90 (highest in team).
Scored 19 goals this season and takes penalties.
Has hit this in 11 of his last 14 games (25 total shots on target).
Liverpool conceded 16 shots & 5 on target vs. City recently, showing defensive vulnerabilities.
Newcastle’s wingers, especially Gordon, will create opportunities for Isak.
🔹 Confidence: 8/10
3. Over 1.5 First-Half Goals
Liverpool’s last 4 league games have hit this line.
Newcastle’s last 8 league games have seen 21 first-half goals.
Expect a high-intensity start, with Liverpool’s attack and Newcastle’s counter-attacking threats.
🔹 Confidence: 7/10
Final Predictions:
Moneyline (ML): Liverpool (Bet the house on it)
Score Prediction: 3-1
Small Parlay Option:
✅ Salah to have a shot on target
✅ Liverpool to win
✅ Liverpool to score in both halves
✅ Isak to have a shot on target