🏀NBA Playoffs — Picks & Analysis for Game 2s
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers
🕒 Time: 4:00 PM PT
📍 Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
Spread: Bucks +4.5 (-110) | Pacers -4.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Bucks +150 | Pacers -175
Total: 229.0 (O -110, U -110)
Series: Pacers lead 1-0
Matchup Breakdown: The Pacers dominated Game 1 with a 117-98 victory, showcasing a balanced offense where six players scored in double figures. Pascal Siakam led with 25 points, while Tyrese Haliburton contributed 10 points and 12 assists. The Bucks struggled offensively, with Giannis Antetokounmpo scoring 36 points but receiving little support from the rest of the starters. Kuzma was blanked. The guys off the bench looked great, but they’ll need to find the right combo to stay in this game. Damian Lillard remains questionable for Game 2, but it looks like he is trending to play today.
Key Trends:
Pacers have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 playoff games at home.
Bucks have failed to cover in 7 of their last 8 road games against teams with winning records.
The total has gone over in 53 of the Pacers' 82 games this season.
💎 Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: No Bet. I could see this going either way. The Dame variable is too high.
Total Bet: Over 229.0
Player Props:
Benedict Mathurin Over 13.5 Points or Over 16.5 Pts +Rebs
Damian Lillard Under 29.5 PRA (don’t see him getting full minutes)
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
🕒 Time: 4:30 PM PT
📍 Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City)
Spread: Grizzlies +14.5 (-110) | Thunder -14.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Grizzlies +700 | Thunder -1200
Total: 228.5 (O -115, U -105)
Series: Thunder lead 1-0
Matchup Breakdown: The Thunder overwhelmed the Grizzlies in Game 1 with a 131-80 win, marking one of the largest playoff blowouts in history. Oklahoma City's balanced attack saw all five starters score in double digits, with Aaron Wiggins leading off the bench with 21 points. Memphis struggled offensively, and their defense couldn't contain the Thunder's efficient shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a subpar game by his standards and will look to bounce back in Game 2.
I don’t really know how to play this game. It almost feels like a trap to take OKC again to cover, but it feels scary to take Memphis as well!
Key Trends:
Thunder are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the Grizzlies.
Thunder have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.
The total has gone over in 41 of the Thunder's 82 games this season.
💎 Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Grizzlies +14.5 or +5 1st Quarter
Total Bet: Over 228.5
Player Props:
Jaren Jackson Jr Over 17.5 Points
Zach Edey Double Double
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers
🕒 Time: 7:00 PM PT
📍 Location: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles)
Spread: Timberwolves +5.5 (-105) | Lakers -5.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Timberwolves +215 | Lakers -260
Total: 211.0 (O -110, U -110)
Series: Timberwolves lead 1-0
Matchup Breakdown: The Timberwolves took Game 1 with a convincing 117-95 win, leveraging their depth and physicality. Anthony Edwards led with 22 points, 8 rebounds, and 9 assists, while Jaden McDaniels added 25 points. The Lakers struggled with offensive organization and defensive lapses, allowing 42 open three-point attempts. Luka Dončić scored 37 points but had only one assist, highlighting the team's offensive disarray. Coach JJ Redick emphasized the need for better organization and intensity in Game 2.
Key Trends:
Timberwolves have won 18 of their last 22 games.
Lakers are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone over in 65 of both teams' 82 games this season.
💎 Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Timberwolves +5.5 / +4 1st Half
Total Bet: Over 210.0
Player Props:
Anthony Edwards Under 3.5 Threes +145
Edwards Over 10.5 Reb + Asst
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