I’m finding a lot of value by getting my bets in early for the day. So, I’m getting this out to you all around 6am my time.
NBA Betting Breakdown – Thursday, April 10
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Spread: Cavaliers +9.0 (-110) | Pacers -9.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Cavaliers +295 | Pacers -390
Total: 232.5 (O -110, U -110)
Analysis:
Cleveland is resting several starters including Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, and Evan Mobley, which drastically limits their offensive punch. Indiana is largely healthy and playing for postseason position, with a fast-paced style that should overwhelm Cleveland's bench-heavy lineup.
Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Pacers -9.0 (-110)
Over/Under Bet: Under 232.5 (-110)
Player Props: Pascal Siakum - Over 18.5 Points
New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Spread: Knicks +3.5 (-110) | Pistons -3.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Knicks +135 | Pistons -160
Total: 228.0 (O -110, U -110)
Analysis:
The Knicks are sitting multiple starters, including OG Anunoby, Mitchell Robinson, and Josh Hart. Detroit has Cade Cunningham and they could still move up in the standings by winning out. While both teams are playing out the stretch, Detroit has the healthier rotation and home-court edge. Knicks are missing two of their best defensive players so I like the over.
Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Pistons -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Bet: Over 228.0 (-110)
Player Props: Mikal Bridges - Over 16.5 Points
Atlanta Hawks vs. Brooklyn Nets
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Spread: Hawks -13.0 (-110) | Nets +13.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Hawks -850 | Nets +550
Total: 230.5 (O -110, U -110)
Analysis:
The Nets are decimated by injuries, but Atlanta still has Trae Young available and more scoring depth. Brooklyn is missing nearly its entire starting lineup, making this a tough home spot for them to cover.
Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Hawks -13.0 (-110)
Over/Under Bet: Under 230.5 (-110)
Player Props: Ziaire Williams - Over 9.5 Points
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Spread: Pelicans +15.5 (-110) | Bucks -15.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Pelicans +700 | Bucks -1200
Total: 222.5 (O -110, U -110)
Analysis:
The Pelicans are missing their top 6 scorers, including Zion, McCollum, and Trey Murphy. The Bucks are expected to play Giannis and roll with their normal rotation. This one could get ugly quick if Milwaukee comes out focused.
Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Bucks -15.5 (-110)
Over/Under Bet: Under 222.5 (-110)
Player Props: Nothing here.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Spread: Timberwolves -1.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +1.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Timberwolves -115 | Grizzlies -105
Total: 232.0 (O -110, U -110)
Analysis:
Minnesota is healthy and playing solid defense down the stretch. Memphis is still missing most of their regular rotation, and depth has been a concern. Expect the Timberwolves to wear them down over 48 minutes. This game has meaningful playoff implications so I’m calling out Anthony Edwards to step up and quit shooting so many threes.
Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Timberwolves -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under Bet: Over 232.0 (-110)
Player Props: Anthony Edwards - Over 27.5 Points