Hey everyone! Iβm exploring ways to get you access to all my picks and still do the deep dive into the data and analysis. I had a good call with Dub Club today and like what theyβre doing, so some of the picks might move onto their platform next week. The benefit of that is I can send you alerts and info in real-time. For example, I often do live bets to hedge or I make last minute changes. None of that can really be sent out in a timely way via email so Iβm exploring better ways to get those picks out.
π₯ Final Best Bet Card (Top 10 Plays)
β
Trae Young Over 10.5 Assists (-133)
β
Tyrese Maxey Over 30.5 Points (-103)
β
Stephen Curry Under 24.5 Points (-106)
β
Nikola Jokic Under 13.5 Rebounds (-123)
β
Coby White Over 19.5 Points (-115)
β
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 11.5 Rebounds (-130)
β
Cleveland Cavaliers -6.0 (-110)
β
Golden State Warriors -6.0 (-110)
β
Under 229.0 - Thunder vs. Suns (-120)
β
Denver Nuggets -10.5 (-110)
π₯ Best Overall Play of the Day: Cleveland Cavaliers -6.0
π° Best Value Prop Bet: Tyrese Maxey Over 30.5 Points
π Safest Play: Golden State Warriors -6.0
π Most Contrarian Play: Stephen Curry Under 24.5 Points
Deep Dive Into Every NBA Game Today
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Preview (2/5/25)
Game Information
π
Date: February 5, 2025
β° Time: 4:00 PM ET
π Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
πΊ TV: Local Broadcast
Betting Odds
Spread: Cavaliers -6.0 (-110) | Pistons +6.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Cavaliers -230 | Pistons +190
Total: O/U 236.0 (-110)
Matchup Breakdown & Key Storylines
This is a Central Division matchup, with the Cavaliers coming off a tough loss to the Celtics and the Pistons looking to bounce back from a heartbreaking loss to the Hawks.
πΉ Cleveland Cavaliers (40-9, 1st in East)
Coming off a 112-105 loss to Boston.
Elite offense, averaging 122.3 PPG (#2 in NBA).
Strong defense, allowing just 111.8 PPG (#10 in NBA).
Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland continue to lead the backcourt.
πΉ Detroit Pistons (25-25, 10th in East)
Lost to Atlanta 132-130 in a close game.
Decent offensive team, scoring 112.7 PPG (#15 in NBA).
Defense struggles at times, allowing 113.7 PPG (#17 in NBA).
Cade Cunningham has been in elite form, averaging 28.2 PPG over the last 10 games.
πΉ Head-to-Head Trends:
Cavs have won the last 10 matchups vs. the Pistons.
Cleveland won the last meeting 110-91 at home.
Detroit has struggled against top-tier teams.
Statistical Comparison & Betting Edges
Category | Cavaliers Rank | Pistons Rank |
PPG | 122.3 (#2) | 112.7 (#15) |
Opponent PPG | 111.8 (#10) | 113.7 (#17) |
FG% | 49.8% (#2) | 46.9% (#14) |
3PT% | 39.4% (#1) | 35.9% (#14) |
Total Rebounds | 51.4 (#22) | 53.3 (#8) |
Turnovers/Game | 12.8 (#3) | 15.5 (#23) |
Key Insights:
βοΈ Cavs' elite offense (122.3 PPG) vs. Pistons' average defense (113.7 Opp PPG).
βοΈ Detroit rebounds well (#8 in total rebounds), but Cleveland is efficient with possessions.
βοΈ Pistons struggle defensively against three-pointers (#27 in Opp 3PT%), while Cleveland leads the NBA in 3PT% (39.4%).
Injury Report & Impact Players
π΄ Cleveland Cavaliers:
Out: Isaac Okoro, Dean Wade
π΅ Detroit Pistons:
Out: Jaden Ivey
Best Bets & Betting Picks
β Best Spread Bet: Cleveland Cavaliers -6.0 (-110)
Cavs have won 10 straight vs. the Pistons.
Cleveland is 33-17 ATS this season (66%).
Detroit is just 10-13-1 ATS at home (43.5%).
β Best Total Bet: Under 236.0 (-110)
Pistons have gone UNDER in 9 of their last 10 vs. Cleveland.
Cavs play at a slower pace than Detroit, which limits overall possessions.
π― Player Prop Bets
β 1. Donovan Mitchell Over 24.5 Points (-109)
Averaging 28.0 PPG over the last 10 games.
Coming off a 31-point performance vs. Boston.
β 2. Darius Garland Over 21.5 Points (-118)
Has averaged 25.25 PPG in the last 4 road games.
Pistons struggle to contain opposing guards.
β 3. Cade Cunningham Over 9.5 Assists (-120)
Cunningham has 14 assists in his last game.
He will be the Pistons' primary facilitator with Cavs shutting down guard scoring.
β 4. Jalen Duren Over 11.5 Rebounds (+110)
Duren has dominated the boards lately.
Cleveland ranks 22nd in rebounding, giving him an edge.
Final Prediction & Betting Strategy
π Final Score Prediction: Cavaliers 120 - Pistons 112
π Best Spread Bet: Cavaliers -6.0 (-110)
π Best Total Bet: Under 236.0 (-110)
π Best Prop Bets: Mitchell Over 24.5 PTS, Garland Over 21.5 PTS, Cunningham Over 9.5 AST
π₯ Betting Strategy:
Cleveland's offensive efficiency and elite shooting give them a clear edge.
Detroit's rebounding helps them stay competitive but isnβt enough to overcome Clevelandβs offensive firepower.
The Under looks strong, as Cleveland tends to slow down the game.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview & Analysis
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Spread: Bucks -10 (-105) | Hornets +10 (-115)
Moneyline: Bucks -480 | Hornets +350
Total: O/U 222.5 (-110)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Bucks have been struggling recently, losing four straight games, but they now have a strong opportunity to bounce back against a depleted Hornets squad. Charlotte has lost five consecutive games and is missing multiple key players, including Brandon Miller.
The Hornetsβ offense is one of the worst in the league, ranking 28th in scoring (107.0 PPG) and 30th in field goal percentage (43.0%). Meanwhile, the Bucks rank 12th in scoring (113.9 PPG) and are second-best in three-point shooting (38.7%). Defensively, Milwaukee has an edge as well, allowing 112.1 PPG (13th) while Charlotte ranks 14th in points allowed per game (112.2 PPG).
The Bucks have dominated this matchup recently, winning eight of the last ten meetings, including a 125-119 victory earlier this season.
Betting Trends & Key Stats
Milwaukee Bucks:
β
Covered the spread in 4 of the last 6 matchups vs. Charlotte
β
Covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 road games
β
Over has hit in 9 of their last 10 games
β Lost four straight games
Charlotte Hornets:
β Failed to cover the spread in 5 of their last 6 games
β Lost five straight games
β
Have kept games relatively close at home, covering +10.5 in 4 of their last 6 home games
β
Strong rebounding team (4th in total rebounds per game)
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Bucks -10 (-105)
The Hornets are shorthanded, missing multiple key players.
The Bucks, despite their recent struggles, have the firepower in Giannis Antetokounmpo (31.8 PPG, 12.2 RPG) and Damian Lillard (25.0 PPG, 7.3 APG) to dominate.
Charlotteβs 30th-ranked shooting percentage (43.0%) will make it difficult for them to keep pace.
2. Over 222.5 (-110)
Milwaukeeβs last 9 games have gone over 218.5 points.
Charlotteβs defense has slipped recently, allowing 124+ points in 3 of their last 5 games.
The Bucksβ offensive efficiency (7th in FG%, 2nd in 3PT%) will push the total over.
3. Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 31.5 Points (-108)
Averaging 29.5 PPG over his last 10 games.
With Milwaukee needing a bounce-back game, expect him to take over offensively.
Charlotte struggles defensively in the paint, allowing 48.3 PPG in the paint (17th).
4. Miles Bridges Over 8.5 Rebounds (-114)
Has recorded Over 8.5 rebounds in 4 straight games.
With multiple injuries on the Hornetsβ roster, he will be expected to do more.
The Bucks rank 30th in offensive rebounding, meaning extra chances for Bridges.
Final Score Prediction:
π Milwaukee Bucks 115 - Charlotte Hornets 104
Best Bets Recap:
β
Bucks -10 (-105)
β
Over 222.5 (-110)
β
Giannis Over 31.5 Points (-108)
β
Miles Bridges Over 8.5 Rebounds (-114)
Milwaukee is in a strong position to bounce back with a statement win against a struggling and shorthanded Hornets squad. Expect Giannis to dominate, and the game to hit the over due to Charlotteβs weak defense. π
San Antonio Spurs vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview & Predictions
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Spread: Spurs -5 (-105) | Hawks +5 (-115)
Moneyline: Spurs -180 | Hawks +155
Total: O/U 243.0 (-110)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Spurs head into this game after back-to-back losses, but they just acquired De'Aaron Fox, which could provide an instant boost alongside Victor Wembanyama. Meanwhile, the Hawks have struggled, losing eight of their last ten games, and have been poor defensively (119.0 PPG allowed, 28th in the NBA).
San Antonio has been strong in assists (7th in the NBA) and leads the league in assists per field goal made (0.705), while the Hawks rank 25th in opponent assists per game (28.5). This could allow Wembanyama and Devin Vassell to thrive.
Atlanta just snapped an 8-game losing streak with a win against the Pistons, but their interior defense remains weak, allowing 49.9 points in the paint per game (24th in the NBA).
San Antonio won the previous meeting 133-126 in OT, and with Fox now in the mix, they could control the tempo against Atlantaβs weak defense.
Betting Trends & Key Stats
San Antonio Spurs:
β
Covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games vs. Atlanta
β
Spurs are 6-1 ATS with 2-3 days off (85.7% cover rate)
β
Fox should give a major offensive boost to a team already ranking 7th in assists per game (28.6).
β Struggling on the road (7-13 record).
Atlanta Hawks:
β
Covered in 6 of their last 9 games as home underdogs.
β
**Atlanta is 2nd in steals per game (10.3), which could help disrupt Fox early.
β Have allowed 130+ points in 3 straight games.
β Without key defensive piece Jalen Johnson, and Clint Capela is questionable.
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Spurs -5 (-105)
Foxβs presence should immediately impact the offense.
Atlanta's defense is 28th in PPG allowed (119.0) and 27th in FG% allowed (48.0%).
The Hawks have lost 4 straight home games.
2. Under 243.0 (-110)
9 of the last 10 Spurs road games have stayed under this number.
The Hawks havenβt gone over 241.5 in their last 6 home games.
San Antonio ranks 19th in PPG (112.5) and will play slower with Fox running the offense.
3. Victor Wembanyama Over 23.5 Points (-120)
Dropped 42 points vs. the Hawks last time out.
Averaging 26.0 PPG over his last 5 games.
Atlanta struggles inside, allowing 50+ points in the paint per game.
4. Trae Young Over 10.5 Assists (-133)
Leads the NBA in assists (11.5 per game).
The Spurs rank 18th in opponent assists per game.
Fox will take time to adjust defensively, leaving Young open to create.
Final Score Prediction:
π San Antonio Spurs 123 - Atlanta Hawks 114
Best Bets Recap:
β
Spurs -5 (-105)
β
Under 243.0 (-110)
β
Wembanyama Over 23.5 Points (-120)
β
Trae Young Over 10.5 Assists (-133)
The Hawks are still a mess defensively, and the addition of De'Aaron Fox should help the Spurs take control early. Expect Wembanyama to dominate inside and the game to stay under the total. π
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Preview & Predictions
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 4:30 PM ET
Spread: Grizzlies -9.5 (-110) | Raptors +9.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Grizzlies -440 | Raptors +330
Total: O/U 238.0 (-115)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Memphis Grizzlies enter this game red hot, winning 9 of their last 10 games, including a dominant 128-109 win over the Spurs. They are currently the #1 scoring team in the NBA (123.5 PPG) and are 2nd in rebounding (56.9 RPG). They also destroyed Toronto 155-126 in their last meeting on December 26.
The Toronto Raptors are on the second night of a back-to-back after facing the Knicks on Tuesday. They are just 2-6 on back-to-backs this season and could be without RJ Barrett (concussion protocol). If Barrett is out, that leaves a significant scoring void for a team already struggling offensively (18th in PPG, 28th in FT%).
Memphis' elite interior scoring (2nd in PPG in the paint, 56.4) should expose a Toronto defense allowing 49.0 PPG in the paint (22nd).
Betting Trends & Key Stats
Memphis Grizzlies:
β
9-1 in their last 10 games, covering 66% of spreads this season (33-17 ATS).
β
#1 offense in the NBA (123.5 PPG) & 2nd in rebounds (56.9 RPG).
β
Won the last two matchups vs. Toronto, including a 29-point blowout earlier this season.
β
11-1 ATS with a rest disadvantage.
β
78.9% ATS in non-conference games.
Toronto Raptors:
β
7-3 in their last 10 games but struggled on back-to-backs (2-6).
β
Covered in 72.7% of games as a home underdog this season.
β RJ Barrett (leading scorer) is questionable with a concussion.
β Ranked 28th in free-throw percentage (74.7%) and 29th in made threes per game.
β Allowed 155 points to Memphis in their last matchup.
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Grizzlies -9.5 (-110)
Memphis has been dominant offensively and on the glass against weaker defensive teams like Toronto.
Toronto struggles on back-to-backs (2-6), and Barrettβs absence would make it worse.
The Grizzlies won the last meeting by 29 points and have a strong chance to do it again.
2. Under 238.0 (-110)
Torontoβs last 9 home games have all gone under 241.5.
The Raptors rank 18th in scoring (111.3 PPG) and could be without Barrett, their leading scorer.
The 241.5 line hasnβt been covered in 3 of the last 5 Grizzlies games.
3. Ja Morant Under 22.5 Points (-118)
Averaging 17.0 PPG over his last 6 games.
Memphis spreads the scoring load, and Jaren Jackson Jr. (24.5 PPG) is the go-to option.
4. Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 24.5 Points (-112)
Averaging 25.1 PPG over his last 10 games.
Dropped 31 points in his last game and should have a size advantage inside against Toronto.
Final Score Prediction:
π Memphis Grizzlies 120 - Toronto Raptors 110
Best Bets Recap:
β
Grizzlies -9.5 (-110)
β
Under 238.0 (-110)
β
Ja Morant Under 22.5 Points (-118)
β
Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 24.5 Points (-112)
Memphis is simply the better team here, and with Toronto on a back-to-back and possibly missing RJ Barrett, expect the Grizzlies to dominate inside and secure a convincing win. π
Washington Wizards vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Preview & Predictions
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 4:30 PM ET
Spread: Nets -3.0 (-110) | Wizards +3.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Nets -145 | Wizards +125
Total: O/U 216.0 (-110)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Brooklyn Nets (26-23-1 ATS) host the Washington Wizards (19-28-2 ATS) in a battle between two struggling offenses. The Wizards rank 27th in scoring (107.3 PPG) while allowing the most points per game in the NBA (121.7 PPG, ranked 30th). The Nets are 29th in scoring (105.4 PPG) but have a top-12 defense (112.1 OPPG, ranked 12th).
Brooklyn has dominated this matchup, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings, including a 122-119 (OT) win earlier this season. The Wizards have won just 2 of their last 10 games, while the Nets have won 3 straight.
The Wizards recently traded Kyle Kuzma for Khris Middleton, but Middleton is unlikely to play tonight. This leaves Jordan Poole as Washingtonβs primary scoring option, but he has struggled with inconsistency.
Betting Trends & Key Stats
Washington Wizards:
β
Covered 62.5% ATS in division games (5-3-0).
β
#9 in fastbreak scoring (16.3 PPG).
β
Ranked 15th in rebounding (52.4 RPG).
β Worst defense in the NBA (121.7 OPPG, 30th).
β 29th in FG% (43.4%) and 29th in eFG% (50.4%).
β Only 2-6 on back-to-backs, averaging just 101.9 PPG in their last 10 games.
Brooklyn Nets:
β
Ranked 12th in defense (112.1 OPPG).
β
Allowing under 110 points in their last 7 games.
β
Covered 66.7% ATS as an away team (18-9-1).
β
29th in pace, leading to frequent unders.
β Worst scoring offense in the NBA (105.4 PPG).
β Averaging just 95.4 PPG in their last 10 games.
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Under 216.0 (-110)
The Under has hit in 10 straight Nets home games.
Brooklyn ranks 29th in pace, and Washington is 27th in offensive efficiency.
The 217.5 line hasnβt been covered in any of the last 5 Nets games.
Washingtonβs road games are 13-11 to the Under, and Brooklyn is 14-8 to the Under at home.
2. Nets -3.0 (-110)
Brooklyn has won 7 of the last 10 matchups.
Washington is just 40.4% ATS as an underdog (19-28-2).
The Wizards are without Kuzma, and Poole has been inconsistent.
Brooklynβs defense has held teams under 110 points in their last 7 games.
3. Jordan Poole Under 21.5 Points (-120)
Poole has scored under 22 points in 8 of his last 9 games.
Brooklyn is allowing under 110 PPG in their last 7 games.
Poole struggles with turnovers and inefficient shooting.
Final Score Prediction:
π Brooklyn Nets 108 - Washington Wizards 102
Best Bets Recap:
β
Under 216.0 (-110)
β
Nets -3.0 (-110)
β
Jordan Poole Under 21.5 Points (-120)
Brooklyn should control the pace of this game with their defense and slow tempo, leading to another low-scoring game where they secure a close win at home. π
Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview & Predictions
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 4:30 PM ET
Spread: 76ers -1 (-108) | Heat +1 (-112)
Moneyline: 76ers -110 | Heat -106
Total: O/U 220.0 (-110)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Miami Heat (20-28 ATS) take on the Philadelphia 76ers (19-28-2 ATS) in a tight matchup missing its two biggest stars: Jimmy Butler (trade speculation/suspension) and Joel Embiid (resting). This leaves Tyrese Maxey and Tyler Herro as the primary offensive options for each team.
Both squads have been trending towards the Over, with Philadelphia hitting the Over in four of its last five games and both teams combining to go 16-6 to the Over since mid-January.
The Heat won the last matchup 106-89 on January 14, 2025, but that was with a different lineup. The 76ers have struggled defensively in the absence of Embiid, ranking 23rd in defensive rating (115.9) over the last 19 games.
Betting Trends & Key Stats
Miami Heat:
β
Covered the Over in 8 of their last 10 games.
β
Hit the Over in 14 of their last 20 games.
β
Rank 7th in three-pointers made per game (14.3 3PM).
β Struggle on the road (9-16 ATS as an away team).
β Rank last in blocks per game (3.8).
Philadelphia 76ers:
β
Hit the Over in 9 of their last 10 home games.
β
Rank 5th in steals per game (9.3), forcing turnovers.
β
Tyrese Maxey is averaging 34.1 PPG over his last 9 games.
β Have covered just 40.4% of their games ATS.
β Rank 30th in defensive effective FG% (57.0%).
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Over 220.0 (-110)
The Over has hit in 9 of the last 10 Sixers home games.
The Over is 16-6 combined for these teams since January 14.
Philadelphia is allowing 116.5 PPG in their last 19 games.
Miami ranks 7th in three-pointers made (14.3 3PM per game).
Maxey (27.8 PPG, 4th in NBA) and Herro (3.8 3PM per game) should both have big games.
2. Tyrese Maxey Over 30.5 Points (-103)
Maxey is averaging 34.1 PPG in his last 9 games.
With Embiid out, Maxey takes on a much larger scoring role.
Heβs had 2 games over 40 points in his last 5 outings.
3. Miami Heat +1 (-112)
Miami won the last matchup 106-89.
Philadelphia is just 37.5% ATS as a home team (9-15-1).
The Heat have better three-point shooting and are playing a Sixers team without its best player.
Final Score Prediction:
π Miami Heat 112 - Philadelphia 76ers 110
Best Bets Recap:
β
Over 220.0 (-110)
β
Tyrese Maxey Over 30.5 Points (-103)
β
Miami Heat +1 (-112)
With no Embiid and Butler, expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game where Maxey and Herro shine, but Miamiβs three-point shooting gives them the edge late. π
Chicago Bulls vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview & Predictions
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 5:00 PM ET
Spread: Timberwolves -12 (-105) | Bulls +12 (-115)
Moneyline: Timberwolves -625 | Bulls +430
Total: O/U 226.0 (-110)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Chicago Bulls (23-26-2 ATS) take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (26-21 ATS) in a matchup between one of the NBA's most dynamic offenses and one of its top defenses.
Chicago boasts the 6th-best scoring offense (116.8 PPG) but has a bottom-tier defense (29th in opponent PPG at 120.0). Minnesota, on the other hand, ranks 4th in opponent PPG (108.0) and is known for its defensive intensity, led by Rudy Gobert and Jaden McDaniels.
A major storyline is Zach LaVineβs departure to Sacramento, which means Coby White takes on a bigger offensive role for Chicago.
Betting Trends & Key Stats
Chicago Bulls:
β
Covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 road games.
β
Top 3-point shooting team (37.4% from deep, 7th in NBA).
β
Averaging 31.3 PPG in the 3rd quarter (2nd in the NBA).
β Only 33.3% ATS in non-conference games.
β 29th in opponent points allowed (120.0 PPG).
Minnesota Timberwolves:
β
Rank 4th in defense (108.0 OPP PPG).
β
6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.
β
Covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home.
β Struggled ATS as double-digit favorites (only 50%).
β Lost outright as heavy favorites to Sacramento last game.
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Coby White Over 19.5 Points (-115 at Bet365)
White has cleared this line in 6 of 9 games without LaVine this season.
Usage rate jumps from 22.6% to 27.6% without LaVine.
Took 16.7 shots per game without LaVine compared to 13.8 with him.
Minnesota just allowed DeMar DeRozan to score 33 on them.
Bulls need a primary scorer, and White is the top option.
2. Bulls First Half +6.5 (-110 at Bet365)
Minnesota has trailed at halftime in both of their last two home games as big favorites.
Chicago will come out firing, and Minnesota could overlook them early.
3. Timberwolves -11.5 (-106 at DraftKings)
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Chicago is 33.3% ATS in non-conference games this season.
Bulls allow 120.0 PPG (29th in the NBA), while Minnesota allows just 108.0 (4th).
Expect the Wolves to pull away late after a competitive first half.
Final Score Prediction:
π Minnesota Timberwolves 118 - Chicago Bulls 104
Best Bets Recap:
β
Coby White Over 19.5 Points (-115)
β
Bulls First Half +6.5 (-110)
β
Timberwolves -11.5 (-106)
Chicago will start strong behind Coby Whiteβs scoring, but Minnesotaβs elite defense and depth will take over late. The Wolves cover the spread, but the Bulls keep it close early. π
Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz Betting Preview & Predictions
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Spread: Warriors -6.0 (-110) | Jazz +6.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Warriors -240 | Jazz +200
Total: O/U 224.5 (-110)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Golden State Warriors (25-24) take on the Utah Jazz (11-37) in what looks like a must-win game for the Warriors as they try to solidify their playoff standing. Golden State has dominated Utah, winning 9 of the last 10 head-to-head matchups, including a 114-103 win just last week.
Key Team Stats & Trends:
π Warriors Strengths:
β
3rd in rebounds per game (55.6 RPG)
β
9th in assists per game (28.5 APG)
β
4th in made 3s per game (15.4 3PM/G)
β
8th in opponent points per game (111.4 OPP PPG)
π Warriors Weaknesses:
β 28th in free throw attempts per game (20.3 FTA/G)
β 26th in field goal percentage (44.4%)
β 28th in first-quarter scoring (26.4 PPG)
π Jazz Strengths:
β
5th in rebounds per game (53.7 RPG)
β
7th in free throw attempts per game (22.7 FTA/G)
β
6th in fourth-quarter scoring (28.1 PPG)
π Jazz Weaknesses:
β 27th in opponent points per game (118.4 OPP PPG)
β 30th in turnovers per game (16.5 TOV/G)
β 30th in steals per game (6.7 STL/G)
β Lost 9 of their last 10 games
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Golden State Warriors -6.0 (-110 at DraftKings)
The Warriors have beaten the Jazz by double digits in their last three meetings.
Utah has lost 9 of its last 10 games and has the worst turnover rate in the NBA (16.5 TOV/G).
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games and needs wins to stay in the playoff race.
The Jazz struggle in close gamesβthey just blew a 12-point lead in the fourth quarter against Indiana.
π― Prediction: Warriors cover the -6.0 spread comfortably.
2. Stephen Curry Under 24.5 Points (-106 at Bet365)
Curry has averaged just 18 PPG in his last 4 games.
He has struggled from deep recently, shooting below 35% from three in the last five outings.
With Andrew Wiggins stepping up offensively, Curry doesnβt need to carry the entire scoring load.
π― Prediction: Curry stays under 24.5 points.
3. Under 224.5 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings)
The Jazz rank 27th in opponent points per game but are equally bad at closing out games.
Golden Stateβs defense ranks 8th in opponent PPG and can keep Utahβs offense in check.
The last three matchups between these teams have gone UNDER this total (114-103, 112-101, 118-104).
π― Prediction: The under hits in a slower-paced game.
Final Score Prediction:
π Golden State Warriors 113 - Utah Jazz 104
Best Bets Recap:
β
Warriors -6.0 (-110)
β
Stephen Curry Under 24.5 Points (-106)
β
Under 224.5 Total Points (-110)
Expect Golden State to take care of business while Utah struggles to keep up late. π
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Preview & Predictions
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Spread: Nuggets -10.5 (-110) | Pelicans +10.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Nuggets -525 | Pelicans +375
Total: O/U 239.0 (-110)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Denver Nuggets (31-19) host the New Orleans Pelicans (12-38) in a rematch after Denver won 125-113 just a few days ago. The Nuggets have won three straight and are trying to hold onto their playoff positioning, while the Pelicans have lost six straight games and are looking ahead to the draft.
Key Team Stats & Trends:
π Nuggets Strengths:
β
1st in field goal percentage (50.5%)
β
1st in points in the paint per game (58.1 PPG)
β
1st in assists per game (31.0 APG)
β
3rd in total rebounds per game (53.6 RPG)
π Nuggets Weaknesses:
β 28th in opponent fastbreak points per game (17.2 OPP FBP/G)
β 24th in opponent points per game (116.4 OPP PPG)
β 30th in opponent assists per game (29.8 OPP APG)
π Pelicans Strengths:
β
10th in fastbreak points per game (16.2 PPG)
β
4th in steals per game (9.4 SPG)
π Pelicans Weaknesses:
β 29th in net rating (-8.4)
β 26th in opponent points per game (118.3 OPP PPG)
β 28th in opponent effective field goal percentage (56.2%)
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Denver Nuggets -10.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
The Nuggets beat the Pelicans by 12 points just days ago, covering a 9.5-point spread.
New Orleans is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games, while Denver is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Western Conference matchups.
The Pelicans have lost 10 straight road games vs. Western Conference teams, and theyβre still missing key players Brandon Ingram and Dejounte Murray.
π― Prediction: Nuggets cover the -10.5 spread.
2. Nikola Jokic Under 13.5 Rebounds (-123 at FanDuel)
Jokic has recorded fewer than 13.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games.
The Pelicans donβt rebound well, but Jokicβs focus will be more on playmaking and scoring in this matchup.
π― Prediction: Jokic stays under 13.5 rebounds.
3. Under 239.0 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings)
The last three meetings between these teams have gone UNDER this total (125-113, 107-104, 118-111).
The Nuggets defense has improved at home, and they limit opponents to 46.6% shooting (16th-best in NBA).
Pelicans have struggled offensively without Ingram and Murray, which makes it harder for this game to reach 239 total points.
π― Prediction: The under cashes in a slower game.
Final Score Prediction:
π Denver Nuggets 122 - New Orleans Pelicans 108
Best Bets Recap:
β
Nuggets -10.5 (-110)
β
Nikola Jokic Under 13.5 Rebounds (-123)
β
Under 239.0 Total Points (-110)
Expect Denver to take care of business at home while the Pelicans struggle to keep up. π
Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview & Predictions
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 6:30 PM ET
Spread: Thunder -13.0 (-105) | Suns +13.0 (-115)
Moneyline: Thunder -750 | Suns +500
Total: O/U 229.0 (-120/+100)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Oklahoma City Thunder (39-12) host the struggling Phoenix Suns (26-24) at the Paycom Center. OKC is 21-3 at home and currently holds the best cover percentage in the NBA (68.8%). Meanwhile, Phoenix is in trade turmoil, with Kevin Durant doubtful and trade rumors swirling.
Key Team Stats & Trends:
π Thunder Strengths:
β
1st in opponent points per game (104.4 OPP PPG)
β
1st in steals per game (11.1 SPG)
β
1st in opponent shooting percentage (42.9%)
β
1st in opponent effective FG% (50.3%)
π Thunder Weaknesses:
β 29th in free throw attempts per game (19.2 FTA/G)
β 27th in opponent free throw attempts per game (24.1 OPP FTA/G)
π Suns Strengths:
β
5th in FT% (79.9%)
β
4th in three-point percentage (37.8%)
π Suns Weaknesses:
β 28th in field goal attempts per game (85.4 FGA/G)
β 28th in opponent turnovers per game (12.7 OPP TO/G)
β 27th in offensive rebounds per game (9.2 ORB/G)
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Oklahoma City Thunder -13 (-105 at FanDuel)
The Thunder have covered 10 of their last 11 home games against teams with a winning record.
The Suns have failed to cover 10 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record.
Phoenix is likely without Kevin Durant, making an already shaky roster even weaker.
π― Prediction: OKC covers the -13 spread comfortably.
2. Isaiah Hartenstein Over 11.5 Rebounds (-130 at FanDuel)
Hartenstein has grabbed 12+ rebounds in 5 straight games.
Phoenix is one of the worst rebounding teams in the league (26th in total rebounds).
π― Prediction: Hartenstein dominates the boards.
3. Under 229.0 Total Points (-120 at DraftKings)
The Thunder have the #1 defense in the NBA (allowing only 104.4 PPG).
Phoenix is without Kevin Durant, limiting their offensive firepower.
The last matchup finished with only 182 total points (99-83).
π― Prediction: The under cashes in a defensive game.
Final Score Prediction:
π Oklahoma City Thunder 115 - Phoenix Suns 98
Best Bets Recap:
β
Thunder -13 (-105)
β
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 11.5 Rebounds (-130)
β
Under 229.0 Total Points (-120)
Expect OKC to dominate from start to finish, covering the spread while keeping the game low-scoring. π
Orlando Magic vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Preview & Predictions
Date: 2/5/25
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Spread: Kings -5.0 (-115) | Magic +5.0 (-105)
Moneyline: Kings -210 | Magic +175
Total: O/U 218.0 (-110)
Game Overview & Key Matchups
The Sacramento Kings (25-24) host the Orlando Magic (24-27) at the Golden 1 Center. Sacramento has won six straight matchups against Orlando, while the Magic come into this game on a four-game losing streak and with one of the worst offenses in the NBA.
Key Team Stats & Trends:
π Kings Strengths:
β
7th in PPG (116.4 PPG)
β
10th in shooting percentage (47.4%)
β
8th in adjusted offensive efficiency (115.9 points per 100 possessions)
β
6th in defensive rebounds per game (33.8 RPG)
π Kings Weaknesses:
β 22nd in opponent PPG (115.2 OPP PPG)
β 29th in opponent three-point percentage (37.4%)
β 30th in opponent three-pointers made per game (14.4 OPP 3PM/G)
π Magic Strengths:
β
2nd in opponent PPG (105.4 OPP PPG)
β
1st in opponent offensive rebounds (8.4 OPP ORB/G)
β
4th in opponent fastbreak points (13.4 OPP FB PTS/G)
π Magic Weaknesses:
β 30th in PPG (103.6 PPG)
β 30th in effective field goal percentage (50.1%)
β 30th in three-point percentage (30.2%)
Best Bets & Predictions
1. Sacramento Kings -5 (-115 at FanDuel)
The Magic have lost 7 straight road games and are 1-9 in their last 10 overall.
The Kings have won 7 straight home games and are 6-0 in their last 6 matchups vs. Orlando.
Sacramento has a massive offensive advantage, ranking 7th in PPG, while Orlando is dead last in PPG and shooting efficiency.
π― Prediction: Kings cover -5 with ease.
2. Over 218.0 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings)
The Kings have hit the over in 9 of their last 10 games.
Sacramento's defense ranks 22nd in opponent PPG (115.2 OPP PPG), meaning even Orlandoβs weak offense may find some scoring opportunities.
The last head-to-head game ended with 216 total points, but with Sacramento's recent offensive firepower, this game should push over 218.
π― Prediction: Over 218.0 total points.
3. DeMar DeRozan Over 20.5 Points (-111 at FanDuel)
DeRozan is averaging 29.6 PPG over his last 5 home games.
The Magic struggle to contain mid-range scorers, which is DeRozanβs specialty.
With Zach LaVine still adjusting to the Kings' system, expect DeRozan to take charge offensively.
π― Prediction: DeRozan drops at least 21 points.
Final Score Prediction:
π Sacramento Kings 115 - Orlando Magic 107
Best Bets Recap:
β
Kings -5 (-115)
β
Over 218.0 Total Points (-110)
β
DeMar DeRozan Over 20.5 Points (-111)
Expect Sacramento to dominate at home, while Orlando's offensive struggles continue. π