Hey, everyone! Got the NBA picks today below for the 3 games today. Tomorrow, I am traveling home all day so there won’t be an email, but I’ll send out my analysis for the NFL games later today so you have that and you’re ready for Sunday!
Good luck tonight!
Best NBA Picks Today - Friday, January 24th
Top 10 Overall Bets of the Day
Mark Williams Over 9.5 Rebounds (-114) – Confidence Level: 9.5/10
A favorable matchup against a tired Portland team makes this a solid prop bet.Cavaliers -10.5 (-105) – Confidence Level: 9.5/10
Cleveland’s elite offense and Philadelphia’s poor form make this a strong pick to cover.Under 220.5 (Trail Blazers vs. Hornets, -110) – Confidence Level: 9/10
Both teams struggle offensively, and Portland is on the second leg of a back-to-back.Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 Points (-125) – Confidence Level: 9/10
Mitchell will exploit Philadelphia’s defensive struggles.Pelicans +11.5 (-105) – Confidence Level: 8.5/10
New Orleans has been competitive despite injuries, and Memphis' turnover issues make this spread appealing.CJ McCollum Over 23.5 Points (-128) – Confidence Level: 8.5/10
The Pelicans will rely heavily on McCollum for scoring.Blazers +5 (-110) – Confidence Level: 8/10
Portland’s recent momentum and Charlotte’s inconsistency give the Blazers a good chance to cover.Darius Garland Over 6.5 Assists (-133) – Confidence Level: 8/10
Garland thrives as a playmaker and should benefit from Cleveland’s efficient scoring.Under 245.0 (Pelicans vs. Grizzlies, -110) – Confidence Level: 8/10
This high total feels exaggerated given the Pelicans’ injuries and Memphis’ defensive potential.Same-Game Parlay (Cavaliers -10.5 & Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 Points, +200)
Cleveland dominates the spread while Mitchell leads the scoring effort.
Top 7 NBA Player Prop Bets of the Day
Mark Williams Over 9.5 Rebounds (-114) – Confidence Level: 9.5/10
Williams faces a tired Blazers squad and will capitalize on their rebounding deficiencies.Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 Points (-125) – Confidence Level: 9.5/10
With Evan Mobley out, Mitchell will dominate the offensive workload against a weak 76ers defense.CJ McCollum Over 23.5 Points (-128) – Confidence Level: 9/10
As the primary scorer with Zion and Ingram out, McCollum will continue his recent scoring surge.Darius Garland Over 6.5 Assists (-133) – Confidence Level: 8.5/10
Garland consistently facilitates Cleveland’s efficient offense and should easily exceed this mark.Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 7.5 Rebounds (+114) – Confidence Level: 8/10
Jackson’s rebounding numbers have climbed recently, and he has a favorable matchup against a depleted Pelicans frontcourt.Anfernee Simons Over 19.5 Points (-101) – Confidence Level: 8/10
Simons has been Portland’s top scorer and will take advantage of Charlotte’s inconsistent defense if he plays.Paul George Over 4.5 Assists (-135) – Confidence Level: 8/10
George will continue to distribute effectively, especially with injuries forcing him into a playmaker role.
NBA Deep Dive 1/24
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Game Overview
The Cleveland Cavaliers (36-7) travel to face the Philadelphia 76ers (15-27) at Wells Fargo Center. Cleveland is a dominant force in the NBA this season, sitting atop the standings, while Philadelphia is struggling on a seven-game losing streak. With key injuries on both sides, Cleveland enters as a strong favorite to extend the 76ers' woes.
Betting Lines
Spread: Cavaliers -10.5 (-105), 76ers +10.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Cavaliers -510, 76ers +370
Total Points: Over/Under 228.5 (-110/-110)
Key Matchup Stats
Stat | Cavaliers | 76ers |
Points/Game | 121.7 (#2) | 107.5 (#27) |
Opp Points/Game | 111.6 (#11) | 112.4 (#13) |
Avg Score Margin | +10.1 (#2) | -4.9 (#23) |
Effective FG % | 58.6% (#1) | 52.1% (#24) |
3PM/Game | 16.1 (#2) | 12.4 (#22) |
Opponent FG % | 45.9% (#10) | 48.8% (#29) |
Turnovers Forced/Game | 15.1 (#9) | 16.8 (#2) |
Rebounds/Game | 51.1 (#22) | 47.4 (#30) |
Injury Report
Cleveland Cavaliers
Out: Isaac Okoro (SG, Shoulder), Evan Mobley (C, Calf)
Questionable: Caris LeVert (SG, Wrist)
Philadelphia 76ers
Out: Joel Embiid (C, Foot), Kyle Lowry (PG, Hip), Jared McCain (PG, Meniscus), Kenyon Martin Jr. (SF, Foot), Caleb Martin (SF, Groin), Andre Drummond (C, Toe)
Game Analysis
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland’s offense is a well-oiled machine, ranking second in points per game and first in both effective field goal percentage and three-point shooting. Despite missing key players like Evan Mobley, the Cavaliers have the depth to control the game. Their defense, ranked 11th in opponent points per game, should have no trouble containing the 76ers' struggling offense.
Key Strengths:
Elite Shooting: 39.4% from three-point range (1st).
Balanced Attack: Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland lead a dynamic offense.
Defense in the Paint: Despite Mobley's absence, Jarrett Allen anchors the interior.
Philadelphia 76ers
The 76ers are in disarray, with multiple key injuries and no offensive rhythm. Their defense has faltered, ranking 29th in opponent field goal percentage. Tyrese Maxey and Paul George have been productive, but the lack of depth and cohesion makes it hard for Philadelphia to compete, especially against a team like Cleveland.
Key Issues:
Lack of Scoring Options: Only four double-digit scorers available.
Poor Rebounding: Last in the league in total rebounds per game.
Defensive Struggles: 29th in opponent effective field goal percentage.
Predictions
1. Spread: Cavaliers -10.5 (-105)
The Cavaliers have covered the spread in 13 of their last 20 games and are dominant against weaker opponents. The 76ers’ lack of depth and poor defensive metrics make it highly unlikely they’ll keep this game close.
2. Total Points: Over 228.5 (-110)
While Philadelphia struggles defensively, Cleveland’s high-powered offense should put up a significant point total. The over has hit in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 road games, and the 76ers’ poor defense should ensure a high-scoring affair.
3. Player Prop Bets:
Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 Points (-125): Mitchell is the offensive focal point with Mobley out, and he should exploit the 76ers’ porous defense.
Darius Garland Over 6.5 Assists (-133): Garland has been a steady playmaker and will benefit from Cleveland’s efficient offense.
Paul George Over 4.5 Assists (-135): George has consistently hit this mark, especially as he handles more offensive responsibilities.
Key Stats Supporting Bets
Cleveland is 15-5 on the road this season, covering spreads consistently.
Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in 9 straight games.
The over has hit in 7 of the last 8 night games between these teams.
Best Bets for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Spread: Cavaliers -10.5 (-105)
Total: Over 228.5 (-110)
Player Props:
Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 Points
Darius Garland Over 6.5 Assists
Paul George Over 4.5 Assists
Cleveland’s depth, elite offense, and strong defensive metrics give them the clear edge. Expect a dominant performance from the Cavaliers against a depleted 76ers squad.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Charlotte Hornets
Game Overview
The Portland Trail Blazers, coming off a road win against the Orlando Magic, head to Charlotte to face the Hornets in the second leg of a back-to-back. The Hornets, meanwhile, are rested after a loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. Both teams have struggled this season, with Portland sitting at 15-28 and Charlotte at 11-29, but this matchup offers an opportunity for one of them to gain some momentum.
Betting Lines
Spread: Hornets -5 (-110), Blazers +5 (-110)
Moneyline: Hornets -210, Blazers +175
Total Points: Over/Under 220.5 (-110)
Key Matchup Stats
Stat | Blazers | Hornets |
Points/Game | 107.9 (#25) | 107.4 (#28) |
Opp Points/Game | 115.6 (#24) | 113.0 (#17) |
Avg Score Margin | -7.7 (#28) | -5.6 (#24) |
Rebounds/Game | 51.3 (#21) | 54.4 (#5) |
Turnovers/Game | 16.3 (#27) | 15.9 (#23) |
Effective FG % | 51.7% (#25) | 50.9% (#28) |
3PM/Game | 12.1 (#26) | 14.2 (#8) |
Injury Report
Portland Trail Blazers
Out: Matisse Thybulle (Ankle)
Questionable: Deandre Ayton (Knee), Donovan Clingan (Ankle), Anfernee Simons (Back)
Charlotte Hornets
Out: Grant Williams (ACL), Brandon Miller (Wrist), Tre Mann (Back)
Questionable: LaMelo Ball (Wrist), Miles Bridges (Back), Seth Curry (Ankle)
Game Analysis
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is playing their third game in four nights and the second leg of a back-to-back. Fatigue will be a factor, particularly as they navigate through injuries to key players. The Blazers’ offense has struggled all season, ranking 25th in points per game, with inefficiency across the board. However, they’ve managed to win three straight games, largely due to improved defense and contributions from Anfernee Simons and Shaedon Sharpe.
Key Strengths:
Rebounding: Top-10 in offensive rebounding percentage.
Defensive Effort: Allowed just 79 points against the Magic in their last outing.
Momentum: Riding a three-game win streak.
Key Issues:
Fatigue: Second game of a back-to-back with a short rotation.
Injuries: Potential absences of Ayton and Simons would leave them short-handed.
Charlotte Hornets
The Hornets are one of the worst shooting teams in the league, ranking 30th in field goal percentage and 28th in points per game. Despite their offensive struggles, they excel in rebounding, ranking 5th overall. The availability of LaMelo Ball and Miles Bridges will be crucial, as their offensive contributions are needed to overcome Portland’s recent form. Charlotte’s defense has been average, and they’ll look to exploit a tired Portland team.
Key Strengths:
Rebounding Dominance: Among the league’s best in total rebounds and offensive rebound percentage.
Rest Advantage: Charlotte is coming off a day of rest, while Portland is playing on back-to-back nights.
Key Issues:
Offensive Inefficiency: Ranked last in field goal percentage and 28th in scoring.
Inconsistent Defense: 17th in opponent points per game, but they allow too many open looks.
Predictions
1. Spread: Blazers +5 (-110)
Portland has covered the spread in three consecutive games and four of their last five road games. While fatigue is a factor, their recent defensive efforts and Charlotte’s inconsistency make +5 an attractive play.
2. Total Points: Under 220.5 (-110)
Both teams are bottom-5 in offensive efficiency, and Portland is playing on tired legs. The under has hit in six of Portland’s last seven games at Spectrum Center and in 10 of Charlotte’s last 11 home games against teams on a back-to-back.
3. Player Prop Bets:
Anfernee Simons Over 19.5 Points (-101): Simons has been Portland’s top scorer in recent games, and even on short rest, he should surpass this mark if he plays.
LaMelo Ball Under 31.5 Points (-120): Ball has averaged under 25 points in his last five games, and with injury concerns, he’s unlikely to exceed this high line.
Mark Williams Over 9.5 Rebounds (-114): Williams dominated the glass against Memphis and faces a Portland team that ranks 21st in total rebounds.
Key Stats Supporting Bets
The under has hit in six of Portland’s last seven night games at Spectrum Center.
Charlotte has failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites.
Portland has covered the spread in five of their last six road games.
Best Bets for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Charlotte Hornets
Spread: Blazers +5 (-110)
Total: Under 220.5 (-110)
Player Props:
Anfernee Simons Over 19.5 Points
LaMelo Ball Under 31.5 Points
Mark Williams Over 9.5 Rebounds
Charlotte’s rest advantage gives them a slight edge, but Portland’s recent momentum and defensive improvements make them likely to cover the spread in a close, low-scoring game.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Game Overview
The Memphis Grizzlies host the New Orleans Pelicans at FedExForum in what could be a high-paced, action-packed game. Both teams come in with strong recent form, with the Grizzlies riding a four-game win streak and the Pelicans winning four of their last five games. However, injuries to key players for the Pelicans, such as Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, may leave them vulnerable against the league's highest-scoring offense.
Betting Lines
Spread: Grizzlies -11.5 (-115), Pelicans +11.5 (-105)
Moneyline: Grizzlies -700, Pelicans +475
Total Points: Over/Under 245.0 (-110)
Key Matchup Stats
Stat | Pelicans | Grizzlies |
Points/Game | 109.2 (#24) | 123.3 (#1) |
Opp Points/Game | 117.2 (#25) | 115.0 (#21) |
Rebounds/Game | 51.3 (#20) | 57.2 (#2) |
Turnovers/Game | 14.2 (#16) | 16.5 (#29) |
Effective FG % | 51.1% (#27) | 56.0% (#5) |
3PM/Game | 12.3 (#23) | 14.2 (#9) |
Injury Report
New Orleans Pelicans
Out: Zion Williamson (Illness), Brandon Ingram (Ankle), Herbert Jones (Shoulder)
Questionable: Dejounte Murray (Elbow), Yves Missi (Illness)
Memphis Grizzlies
Out: Marcus Smart (Finger), Vince Williams Jr. (Ankle), Cam Spencer (Thumb), Jake LaRavia (Back)
Questionable: Santi Aldama (Illness)
Game Analysis
New Orleans Pelicans
The Pelicans enter this game without their two best players, Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, which puts a significant dent in their offensive potential. However, they’ve shown resilience recently, winning four straight games before a tough matchup against Memphis. CJ McCollum has stepped up as the primary scorer, and their defense has improved, allowing 113.9 points per 100 possessions over the last six games—better than their season average.
Key Strengths:
Steals: Ranked 4th in the league in steals per game (9.6).
Offensive Rebounding: Ranked 8th in offensive rebounding percentage.
Momentum: A four-game win streak against tough competition.
Key Weaknesses:
Injury-Related Scoring Depth: Without Zion and Ingram, they lack consistent scoring threats.
Defensive Efficiency: Ranked 27th in opponent effective FG%.
Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies are one of the best offensive teams in the NBA, leading the league in points per game and ranking 5th in offensive efficiency. They’ve won four straight games and boast an impressive home record. Memphis thrives on pace and efficiency, dominating the paint and hitting threes at an above-average clip. Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. lead the way, with support from Desmond Bane and Luke Kennard.
Key Strengths:
Elite Offense: First in points per game (123.3) and first in free throw attempts per game (24.4).
Rebounding Dominance: Second in total rebounds per game.
Home Court: A 17-5 record at FedExForum.
Key Weaknesses:
Turnovers: Ranked 29th in turnovers per game (16.5).
Late-Game Defense: 28th in opponent fourth-quarter points.
Predictions
1. Spread: Pelicans +11.5 (-105)
The Pelicans have been competitive recently, covering the spread in seven of their last eight road games following a win. While Memphis is formidable at home, a double-digit spread may be too much to cover against a scrappy Pelicans team that has found ways to stay in games despite injuries. Additionally, the Grizzlies are prone to turnovers, which could allow New Orleans to keep this closer than expected.
2. Total Points: Under 245.0 (-110)
While Memphis has the league’s best offense, 245 points is an extremely high total. The Pelicans’ injury woes and Memphis’ solid defense make the under a strong play. The total has gone under in 19 of New Orleans’ last 20 road games and in six of Memphis’ last 10 home games.
3. Player Prop Bets:
CJ McCollum Over 23.5 Points (-128): With Zion and Ingram out, McCollum is the clear first option and has averaged over 24 points in his last five games.
Dejounte Murray Over 6.5 Rebounds (+120): Murray has been a strong presence on the boards, exceeding this line in four straight road games.
Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 7.5 Rebounds (+114): Jackson has increased his rebounding efforts recently and should dominate the glass against a depleted Pelicans frontcourt.
Key Stats Supporting Bets
The under has hit in 19 of the Pelicans’ last 20 road games.
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last six games and 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
The Pelicans have covered in seven of their last eight road games after a win.
Best Bets for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Spread: Pelicans +11.5 (-105)
Total: Under 245.0 (-110)
Player Props:
CJ McCollum Over 23.5 Points
Dejounte Murray Over 6.5 Rebounds
Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 7.5 Rebounds
While Memphis is the better team, the Pelicans' recent form and ability to keep games close against good competition make them a solid pick to cover. Expect Memphis to win, but not by the wide margin indicated by the spread.