NBA Picks - Regular Season Final Day - Sunday, 4/13

The Bryson bet was a good one yesterday since his odds moved to +240, but the bad news is McIlroy is heavily favored. We’ll see if Bryson can cut into that lead early and make this tight!

The key to winning today is not over betting and getting caught up in these meaningless games. Let’s gear up to make some money in the playoffs.

Time: 1:00 PM ET

Spread: Hornets +11.0 (-110) | Celtics -11.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Hornets +400 | Celtics -575
Total: 211.5 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
The Celtics are expected to rest several key players ahead of the playoffs, while the Hornets have long been out of contention and are running a young rotation. Even with Boston short-handed, their second unit is stronger than Charlotte’s core.

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Time: 1:00 PM ET

Spread: Bulls -9.5 (-110) | 76ers +9.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Bulls -415 | 76ers +310
Total: 235.0 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
Philadelphia is playing backups as usual and the Bulls are probably going to sit most of their top guys as well. I’d stay away from this one.

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Time: 1:00 PM ET

Spread: Pistons +8.0 (-110) | Bucks -8.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Pistons +260 | Bucks -320
Total: 224.0 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
Milwaukee has locked in their playoff spot so they’ll rest guys. Detroit will give extended run to its young players. Nothing worth betting here.

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Time: 1:00 PM ET

Spread: Pacers -6.0 (-110) | Cavaliers +6.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Pacers -230 | Cavaliers +190
Total: 227.0 (O -105, U -115)

Analysis:
Another meaningless game between backups here. Stay away.

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Time: 1:00 PM ET

Spread: Knicks -6.5 (-115) | Nets +6.5 (-105)
Moneyline: Knicks -260 | Nets +215
Total: 214.5 (O -115, U -105)

Analysis:
The Knicks will likely rest several rotation players, but Brooklyn’s injury list is even more extensive. With motivation to stay sharp for the playoffs, New York should control this one defensively.

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Time: 1:00 PM ET

Spread: Magic -1.0 (-105) | Hawks +1.0 (-115)
Moneyline: Magic -110 | Hawks -110
Total: 219.5 (O -105, U -115)

Analysis:
Both teams are playing to lock in positioning, but Orlando is the more cohesive group and has a better defensive identity. Both teams are going to be resting players.

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Time: 1:00 PM ET

Spread: Wizards +8.0 (-105) | Heat -8.0 (-115)
Moneyline: Wizards +275 | Heat -350
Total: 215.5 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
The Heat are playing to tune up for the play-in and should keep a few guys playing early but this is not really worth betting on.

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Time: 3:30 PM ET

Spread: Mavericks +1.5 (-105) | Grizzlies -1.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Mavericks +105 | Grizzlies -125
Total: 229.0 (O -105, U -115)

Analysis:
Both teams are stuck in the play-in tournament. Dallas might be able to upgrade to a home game against the Kings. I’d lean that way.

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Time: 3:30 PM ET

Spread: Nuggets -9.0 (-110) | Rockets +9.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Nuggets -390 | Rockets +295
Total: 234.5 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
The Nuggets are still chasing seeding and should go more full strength. Houston may rotate younger players more heavily in the finale. Expect Denver to run up the score early and coast late. Houston is locked into the 2 seed.

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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors
Time: 3:30 PM ET

Spread: Clippers +3.5 (-110) | Warriors -3.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Clippers +140 | Warriors -165
Total: 219.5 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
The Clippers and Warriors are both vying for playoff positioning, making this a high-stakes matchup. Golden State has been formidable at home, but the Clippers play great defense and actually have a fairly big advantage down low with Zubac. It’s a tight game to call — I might take the points. The Clippers are one of the hottest teams right now.

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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Time: 3:30 PM ET

Spread: Lakers +5.5 (-105) | Trail Blazers -5.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Lakers +185 | Trail Blazers -225
Total: 218.0 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
The Lakers are resting their starters. The Blazers are probably the better side here but I’d stay away.

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Time: 3:30 PM ET

Spread: Thunder -12.5 (-110) | Pelicans +12.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Thunder -750 | Pelicans +500
Total: 234.0 (O -115, U -105)

Analysis:
The Thunder are resting all their big time players but should easily handle the Pelicans even with backups.

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Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings
Time: 3:30 PM ET

Spread: Suns +15.0 (-110) | Kings -15.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Suns +725 | Kings -1300
Total: 224.0 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
The Kings should play most of their guys to secure a home court play-in game.

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Toronto Raptors vs. San Antonio Spurs
Time: 3:30 PM ET

Spread: Raptors +5.0 (-110) | Spurs -5.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Raptors +165 | Spurs -195
Total: 229.0 (O -110, U -110)

Analysis:
Both teams are out of playoff contention, but the Spurs have been playing better basketball recently. The Raptors are dealing with injuries, and the Spurs have actually been fighting pretty hard.

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Utah Jazz vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Time: 3:30 PM ET

Spread: Jazz +23.5 (-110) | Timberwolves -23.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Jazz +1200 | Timberwolves -5000
Total: 232.5 (O -105, U -115)

Analysis:
The Timberwolves are heavily favored and should dominate the Jazz, who are missing several key players. Ant got his technical rescinded so he will be playing in this one. This spread is crazy big so I’m staying away.

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