🏀NBA Playoff Picks Today + ⚾️MLB - Monday, 4/28

🏀NBA Picks & Analysis for Today

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat

• 🕒 Time: 4:30 PM PT

• 📍 Location: Kaseya Center (Miami)

• Spread: Cavaliers -8.5 (-115) | Heat +8.5 (-105)

• Moneyline: Cavaliers -410 | Heat +305

• Total: 212.0 (O -105, U -115)

• Game #4 – First Round Playoffs, CLE leads 3-0

Matchup Breakdown: The Cavaliers aim to complete a first-round sweep of the Heat after a dominant 124–87 victory in Game 3. Donovan Mitchell continues to lead Cleveland's offense, while Max Strus has emerged as a key contributor, averaging 13.7 points per game and shooting 50% from three-point range in the series. Darius Garland remains questionable with a toe injury.

I think a sweep is in the air today. The Cavs have just been too much and even took care of Miami without Garland last game. I think it’s going to be a hell of a series when Indiana and Cleveland inevitably face off next round.

Key Trends:

• Cavaliers have won 8 of their last 10 games.

• Heat are 4-6 in their last 10 games.

• The total has gone over in 6 of the Cavaliers' last 8 games.

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Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors

• 🕒 Time: 7:00 PM PT

• 📍 Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)

• Spread: Rockets +3.5 (-105) | Warriors -3.5 (-115)

• Moneyline: Rockets +145 | Warriors -170

• Total: 203.0 (O -105, U -115)

• Game #4 – First Round Playoffs, GSW leads 2-1

Matchup Breakdown: The Warriors look to extend their series lead after a 104–93 win in Game 3. Stephen Curry led the charge with 36 points, while the team's defense held the Rockets to just 44 second-half points. Jimmy Butler remains questionable with a pelvic contusion. The Rockets aim to bounce back, relying on Alperen Şengün to exploit mismatches and improve upon his 15-point performance in Game 3. Fred VanVleet acknowledges the need for better efficiency, shooting only 26.8% from the field in the series.

This is a tough one to call and I think it’ll be a pretty close game here. The series continues to go under the total, so maybe today we go over.

Key Trends:

• Warriors have won 7 of their last 10 home games.

• Rockets are 4-6 in their last 10 games.

• The total has gone under in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams.

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