🏀NBA Playoffs Best Picks & Analysis - Sunday, 4/20
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
🕒 Time: 10:00 AM PT
📍 Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City)
Spread: Grizzlies +13.5 (-110) | Thunder -13.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Grizzlies +625 | Thunder -1000
Total: 229.5 (O -110, U -110)
Matchup Breakdown:
The top-seeded Thunder (68-14) enter the playoffs with momentum, led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and a fully healthy team. The Grizzlies (48-34) are coming off a win in the play-in game and hoping to return to early season form when they were the 2-seed in the west.
Memphis can score and push tempo, while OKC is great on offense and defense. There is a scenario where Memphis comes out hot and OKC takes care of them towards the end. If the spread is 13.5, I don’t mind Memphis +8 in the first half.
Key Trends:
Thunder are 41-11 in conference play.
Grizzlies' Desmond Bane ranks 8th in FT% (89.4%) this season.
Zach Edey has been playing heavy minutes and it’s changed the dynamic of this team recently.
💎 Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Grizzlies +8 First Half
Total Bet: Under 229.5
Player Props:
Jaren Jackson Jr Over 1.5 Threes Made
Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics
🕒 Time: 12:30 PM PT
📍 Location: TD Garden (Boston)
Spread: Magic +13.0 (-105) | Celtics -13.0 (-115)
Moneyline: Magic +600 | Celtics -950
Total: 206.0 (O -110, U -110)
Matchup Breakdown:
The defending champion Celtics, led by Jayson Tatum, aim to start strong against the Magic, who struggle offensively, ranking near the bottom in shooting percentages. Both teams play really good defense. Yes, we saw the Magic go off against the Hawks and frustrate them, but this is the Celtics and it’ll take some serious effort from a lot of players to put points on the board.
Key Trends:
Celtics are 61-21, seeking their first back-to-back titles since 1969.
Magic's offense is among the league's least efficient.
💎 Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Celtics -13.0
Total Bet: Under 206.0
Player Props:
Derrick White Over 23.5 PRA
Anthony Black Over 13.5 PRA
Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
🕒 Time: 4:00 PM PT
📍 Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse (Cleveland)
Spread: Heat +12.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -12.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Heat +525 | Cavaliers -800
Total: 215.5 (O -110, U -110)
Matchup Breakdown:
The Cavaliers, boasting the league's top offense, face the Heat, who worked themselves into the playoffs by winning two straight games. The Heat are relatively healthy and have a full lineup for the first time in awhile this season. They do struggle offensively at times, but play pretty hard defense.
Overall, I’m not huge on the Cavs making a deep run this year into the finals, but I do think they have a very good matchup here against the Heat and this could be a potential blowout.
Key Trends:
Cavaliers are 64-18, leading the league in scoring.
Heat have one of the slowest paces and lowest scoring offenses.
💎 Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: Cavaliers -12.5
Total Bet: Under 215.5
Player Props:
Not playing any here. I think it could be a blowout so I’m avoiding.
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
🕒 Time: 6:30 PM PT
📍 Location: Toyota Center (Houston)
Spread: Warriors +1.5 (-115) | Rockets -1.5 (-105)
Moneyline: Warriors EVEN | Rockets -120
Total: 213.5 (O -105, U -115)
Matchup Breakdown:
The Rockets return to the playoffs, led by young talents like Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun. The Warriors, with playoff veterans Steph Curry and Draymond Green, aim to leverage their experience .
Key Trends:
Rockets finished 52-30, securing the 2nd seed.
Warriors won the regular-season series 3-2 against the Rockets .
💎 Premium Picks:
Spread Bet: No Bet.
Total Bet: Under 213.5
Player Props:
Moses Moody Under 9.5 Points
Alperen Senguin Under 20.5 Points
⚾️Baseball Picks for Today - Sunday, 4/20
Phillies ML
Mets ML
Cubs ML
Dodgers ML