Games covered (top 25 only): St. John’s vs Villanova | Ole Miss vs South Carolina | California vs Duke | Arizona State vs Texas Tech | Oklahoma vs Missouri.
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🏀 St. John's Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcats
🗒️ Game overview
Tip-off: 6:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Finneran Pavilion, Villanova, PA
Spread: St. John’s -2.5 (-110) | Villanova +2.5 (-110)
Moneyline: St. John’s -160 | Villanova +135
Total (O/U): 139.0 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
📊 Key betting trends
St. John’s: 15-8-1 ATS overall, dominant defense (25th in opponent PPG).
Villanova: 12-12 ATS, strong home performance (11-3 SU).
Head-to-Head: St. John’s won the last meeting 80-68 and has covered in 3 straight matchups.
🔍 Matchup breakdown
St. John's Red Storm (21-3, 15-8-1 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ Elite defense (25th in opponent PPG)
✅ Strong rebounding (5th in total rebounds per game)
✅ Balanced scoring attack (four players averaging double figures)
❌ Poor three-point shooting (347th in 3PT%)
❌ Struggles at the free throw line (281st in FT%)
Key injuries: Deivon Smith (doubtful - neck), Brady Dunlap (out - hand).
Villanova Wildcats (14-10, 12-12 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ Strong perimeter shooting (4th in 3PT%)
✅ Efficient free throw shooting (5th in FT%)
✅ Disciplined play (28th in turnovers per game)
❌ Inconsistent scoring (113th in PPG)
❌ Vulnerable on the defensive glass (191st in total rebounds per game)
Key injuries: Nnanna Njoku (out - knee), Mark Armstrong (questionable - ankle), Max Hodge (out - eligibility).
🏀 Final score prediction
St. John’s 70 - Villanova 63
Outcome: St. John’s covers the spread, total goes under.
Key factors: St. John’s defensive dominance, Villanova’s inconsistency in scoring, and injuries to key players.
💰 Picks & predictions
1️⃣ Spread pick: St. John’s -2.5 (-110)
Reasoning: St. John’s has covered in four of their last five games and boasts an elite defense that can stifle Villanova’s offense.
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10)
🚀 Parlay play (high-risk, high-reward) [🔒]
💡 Betting strategy notes [🔒]
🏀 Mississippi Rebels vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
🗒️ Game overview
Tip-off: 7:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Colonial Life Arena, Columbia, SC
Spread: Mississippi -4.5 (-115) | South Carolina +4.5 (-105)
Moneyline: Mississippi -210 | South Carolina +175
Total (O/U): 138.5 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
📊 Key betting trends
Mississippi: 13-10-1 ATS overall, strong second-half team.
South Carolina: 11-12 ATS, struggling in SEC play (0-10).
Head-to-Head: South Carolina has won the last two matchups, covering both times.
🔍 Matchup breakdown
Mississippi Rebels (18-6, 13-10-1 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ Efficient offense (31st in offensive efficiency per KenPom).
✅ Takes care of the ball (fewest turnovers per game in the nation).
✅ Strong in transition (9th in fast-break points per game).
❌ Struggles on the boards (226th in total rebounds per game).
❌ Defense allows too many second-chance points (322nd in opponent rebounds per game).
Key injuries: Matthew Murrell (probable - undisclosed).
South Carolina Gamecocks (10-13, 11-12 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ Solid defensive efficiency (45th in KenPom).
✅ Patient offensive style slows the pace.
✅ Strong free-throw rate (16th in FTA/FGA).
❌ Bottom-tier three-point shooting (244th in 3PT%).
❌ Struggles with turnovers (267th in turnovers per game).
Key injuries: Myles Stute (out - undisclosed).
🏀 Final score prediction
Mississippi 77 - South Carolina 68
Outcome: Mississippi covers the spread, total goes over.
Key factors: Mississippi's second-half scoring, South Carolina’s offensive struggles, and Mississippi’s ability to force turnovers.
💰 Picks & predictions
1️⃣ Spread pick: Mississippi -4.5 (-115)
Reasoning: The Rebels have shown resilience in close games, and South Carolina’s 0-10 SEC record doesn’t inspire confidence.
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10)
🚀 Parlay play (high-risk, high-reward) [🔒]
💡 Betting strategy notes [🔒]
🏀 California Golden Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils
🗒️ Game overview
Tip-off: 9:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
Spread: Duke -23.0 (-110) | California +23.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Duke -10000 | California +2400
Total (O/U): 142.5 (-105 Over / -115 Under)
📊 Key betting trends
California: 12-11-1 ATS overall, solid road cover team (6-2 ATS as an away underdog).
Duke: 14-9 ATS, dominant at home (8-5 ATS).
Head-to-Head: Duke won the last meeting 87-52, covering as heavy favorites.
🔍 Matchup breakdown
California Golden Bears (12-12, 12-11-1 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ Strong rebounding (37.2 RPG, 68th nationally)
✅ Solid free-throw shooting (75.6%, 59th)
✅ Effective at getting to the line (FTA/FGA ratio of 0.388, 40th)
❌ Poor perimeter defense (opponents shoot 36.7% from 3, 329th)
❌ Struggles to create assists (10.5 APG, 343rd)
❌ Below-average shooting efficiency (48.3% eFG%, 290th)
Key injuries: J. Ola-Joseph (F) – Questionable (undisclosed), S. Mahoney (F) – Questionable (illness), D. Curtis (F) – Questionable (undisclosed), B. Omot (F) – Out (undisclosed)
Duke Blue Devils (20-3, 14-9 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ Elite two-way play (5th in offensive efficiency, 4th in defensive efficiency)
✅ Great perimeter defense (opponents shoot just 32.5% from deep)
✅ Dominant inside (6th in opponent FG%)
❌ Struggles against elite transition offenses
❌ Recent scoring droughts in second halves
❌ Turnover-prone in high-pressure games
Key injuries: M. Gillis (F) – Questionable (illness)
🏀 Final score prediction
Duke 86 - California 60
Outcome: Duke covers the spread, total goes under.
Key factors: Duke’s elite defense, California’s struggles against top teams, and home-court dominance at Cameron Indoor.
💰 Picks & predictions
1️⃣ Spread pick: Duke -23.0 (-110)
Reasoning: Duke has covered spreads of 23+ in five of their last 10 games, including against Miami and Boston College. Their offense is too much for Cal’s 203rd-ranked defense.
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10)
🚀 Parlay play (high-risk, high-reward) [🔒]
💡 Betting strategy notes [🔒]
🏀 Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
🗒️ Game overview
Tip-off: 9:00 PM (ET)
Venue: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX
Spread: Texas Tech -16.0 (-105) | Arizona State +16.0 (-115)
Moneyline: Texas Tech -2000 | Arizona State +950
Total (O/U): 143.5 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
📊 Key betting trends
Arizona State: 13-10 ATS overall, struggles offensively (165th in PPG).
Texas Tech: 13-10 ATS, dominant at home (9-5 ATS as home favorite).
Head-to-Head: First meeting since 2013.
🔍 Matchup breakdown
Arizona State Sun Devils (12-11, 13-10 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ Strong perimeter defense (34th in opponent 3PT%)
✅ Gets to the free-throw line (88th in FTA/FGA)
✅ Solid defensive rebounding (65th in defensive rebounds)
❌ Inconsistent scoring (165th in PPG)
❌ Poor shooting efficiency (232nd in FG%)
Key injuries: J. Quaintance (out - ankle), A. Nunez (out - foot).
Texas Tech Red Raiders (18-5, 13-10 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ Elite offensive efficiency (9th in adjusted offensive efficiency)
✅ Strong three-point shooting (22nd in 3PT%)
✅ Stout defense (30th in opponent PPG)
❌ Struggles to get to the free-throw line (297th in FTA/FGA)
❌ Occasional scoring droughts against tough defenses
Key injuries: J. Henderson (out - lower body).
🏀 Final score prediction
Texas Tech 78 - Arizona State 60
Outcome: Texas Tech covers the spread, total goes under.
Key factors: Arizona State’s offensive struggles, Texas Tech’s home dominance, and defensive efficiency.
💰 Picks & predictions
1️⃣ Spread pick: Texas Tech -16.0 (-105)
Reasoning: Texas Tech has covered the spread in five of their last seven games, while Arizona State has failed to cover in four of their last five.
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10)
🚀 Parlay play (high-risk, high-reward) [🔒]
💡 Betting strategy notes [🔒]
🏀 Oklahoma Sooners vs. Missouri Tigers
🗒️ Game overview
Tip-off: 9:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
Spread: Missouri -9.5 (-110) | Oklahoma +9.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Missouri -480 | Oklahoma +350
Total (O/U): 151.0 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
📊 Key betting trends
Oklahoma: 11-12 ATS overall, struggles against ranked teams (4-4 ATS).
Missouri: 13-10 ATS, strong in conference play (8-2 ATS).
Head-to-Head: Missouri has won 3 of the last 4 meetings, covering twice.
🔍 Matchup breakdown
Oklahoma Sooners (16-7, 11-12 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ Strong shooting efficiency (6th in shooting efficiency).
✅ Solid from beyond the arc (43rd in 3PT%).
✅ High free-throw percentage (8th in FT%).
❌ Struggles on the boards (309th in rebounds per game).
❌ Inconsistent against ranked opponents (50% ATS).
Key injuries: None reported.
Missouri Tigers (17-6, 13-10 ATS)
Strengths & weaknesses:
✅ High-powered offense (15th in PPG).
✅ Excellent rebounding team (80th in offensive rebounding %).
✅ Forces turnovers at a high rate (28th in opponent turnovers/play).
❌ Vulnerable to three-point shooting (205th in opponent 3PT%).
❌ Inconsistent free-throw defense (302nd in opponent FT%).
Key injuries: T. Burns (out - foot).
🏀 Final score prediction
Missouri 79 - Oklahoma 68
Outcome: Missouri covers the spread, total stays under.
Key factors: Missouri's offensive firepower, Oklahoma's rebounding struggles, and Missouri’s ability to force turnovers.
💰 Picks & predictions
1️⃣ Spread pick: Missouri -9.5 (-110)
Reasoning: Missouri has covered in 80% of its conference games, and Oklahoma struggles against strong rebounding teams.
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10)