Bengals vs. Commanders
Spread: Bengals –4
Moneyline: Bengals –200 / Commanders +170
Total: 43 points
The spread has crept from –3.5 to –4 across sharp books, while the total is firm around 42.5–43.5.
Key Angles
QB Depth Edge: Bengals’ backup QBs likely outperform Washington’s reserves once starters exit. Jake Browning is a very capable backup.
Starter Allocation: Cincinnati leans into the preseason to adjust rhythm; Washington appears content to withdraw Daniels early.
Flow Expectation: Cincy starts fast; after Daniels, Washington’s offense may stall.
Best Bets for Tonight
Main Pick: Bengals –4 (–110)
Clear edge in game management, depth, and strategic intent.Alternate Bet: Over 43 (–110)
Early production from both QBs + backup mismatches = potential for scoring.Bengals 1H (–2 or better)
If available, this is especially sharp given the expected starter-heavy first quarter.
Baseball Picks Today - 8/18
Dodgers @ Rockies – YRFI (-130)
Why: Coors Field, altitude, and a projected 6.93 ERA matchup for Rockies pitchers plus a 5.97 ERA projection for Dodgers arms. Both teams’ bats are in advantageous spots. Projection: 62% chance to cash.
This aligns with THE BAT X model and the fact that both Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) and Kyle Freeland (COL) project for elevated ER totals.