Eagles vs. Jets
Game Context: Both teams are resting starters. The Jets roll with Adrian Martinez and Brady Cook, while the Eagles lean on Dorian Thompson-Robinson and rookie Kyle McCord.
Best Bet: Under 33.5 – backup-heavy game, expect stalled drives and conservative play-calling.
Alternate Lean: Eagles +1.5 – slightly steadier QB depth.
Falcons vs. Cowboys
Game Context: Falcons are sitting Penix and Cousins, but Easton Stick and Ben DiNucci will handle QB snaps. Cowboys sit Dak, giving rookie Joe Milton another start after a rocky preseason.
Best Bet: Falcons +2.5 – experienced backups vs. raw rookie QB edge.
Alternate Lean: Under 36.0 – both offenses likely sluggish.
Vikings vs. Titans
Game Context: Vikings rest starters, relying on Sam Howell, Brett Rypien, and Max Brosmer. Titans give No. 1 pick Cam Ward a final tune-up alongside some first-team reps.
Best Bet: Titans -3.5 – starter minutes + Cam Ward edge vs. Minnesota backups.
Alternate Lean: Over 37.5 – Ward with 1s should generate points, and Vikings QBs typically move the ball late.
Bears vs. Chiefs
Game Context: Both teams will play starters briefly — Caleb Williams for Chicago, Patrick Mahomes for KC. Then Tyson Bagent (CHI) and Gardner Minshew (KC) carry the load.
Best Bet: Over 42.0 – both first-team offenses get live reps, with capable QB2s to sustain scoring.
Alternate Lean: Chiefs -1.5 – Mahomes-led drives tend to strike early.