NFL Sunday Best Picks - 9/7

Texans @ Rams — Under 43.0 (-110)
Week 1 timing + conservative scripts = fewer explosives; both fronts can generate pressure, which typically stalls red-zone trips and favors field goals. Texans have a really good secondary. Stafford has not played and dinged up (also new players on offense). Texans have a re-made offensive line.

Giants +6 (-105) at Commanders
Divisional dog + full six points. Giants’ front can disrupt and keep this in the low-20s; fading a likely Commanders regression with a number that captures the backdoor. Giants should keep this game lower scoring and tight.

Jets Team Total Under 17.5 (-110)
New-look offense in Week 1 usually means a run-heavy, mistake-averse plan. 17.5 asks for three TDs (or 2 TD + 2 FGs)—a big ask out of the gate for an offense that’s new and probably not quite right against a decent defense in bad weather.

Titans @ Broncos — Under 42.0 (-105)
Titans’ slow pace and run lean + a grindy Denver home opener profile. Fewer chunk plays expected; 42 is tough to clear without multiple broken drives.