🕒 7:00 PM ET @ John J. Lee Amphitheater, New Haven, CT
💰 Moneyline: Yale -2200 | Pennsylvania +1000 | Total (O/U): 149.0 (-110 Over / -110 Under)
Key betting trends:
Pennsylvania: 8-12 ATS overall, 4-2 ATS as an away underdog.
Yale: 14-5-1 ATS, dominant home record (7-0 SU).
Head-to-Head: Yale has won the last three matchups, including a dominant 90-61 victory on February 1.
Matchup analysis
Pennsylvania Quakers
Record: 6-14, 8-12 ATS
✅ Solid three-point shooting (32.8% 3PT, #223 nationally)
✅ Low turnover rate (11.1 per game, #102)
❌ Weak rebounding (33.5 RPG, #255)
❌ Poor defense (75.5 OPP PPG, #252)
❌ Free throw struggles (66.9% FT, #326)
Key injuries: Ethan Roberts (questionable - undisclosed).
Yale Bulldogs
Record: 14-6, 14-5-1 ATS
✅ High-powered offense (82.6 PPG, #13 nationally)
✅ Elite rebounding (39.6 RPG, #16)
✅ Strong three-point shooting (39.8% 3PT, #5)
❌ Fouls often (17.3 fouls per game, #203)
❌ Average perimeter defense (34.3% OPP 3PT, #212)
Key injuries: None reported.
Picks & predictions
Final score: Yale 84 - Pennsylvania 63
Outcome: Yale covers the spread | Key factors: Yale’s offensive firepower, Penn’s defensive struggles, and rebounding mismatch.
Spread pick | Yale -15 (-110) - Reasoning: The Bulldogs are 7-0 at home, with all home wins by 15+ points. Penn has struggled on the road and was blown out in the last matchup. Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (8/10) |
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