⚽️Premier League Picks & Analysis - Sunday, 2/23

📅 Date: Sunday, February 23, 2025
⏰ Kickoff: 6:00 AM EST
📍 Location: St. James' Park
🎰 Odds:

💡 Trends & Rationale:
✔️ Has played up top in the last two games, hitting this line both times
✔️ When playing on the wing in the previous match, he had 5 shots
✔️ Against Newcastle in his last three matchups, he has 9 total shots (hitting this in all three)
✔️ Newcastle concedes 13.5 shots per game at home—6th worst in the league

💰 Bet Recommendation: Elanga 2+ Shots (-120)—strong recent form and a favorable matchup.

💡 Trends & Rationale:
✔️ Averages 1.25 shots on target per 90 minutes
✔️ 28 shots in 25 PL games this season
✔️ 65% of his shots on target have resulted in goals
✔️ Hattrick in this fixture last season—should test Newcastle’s shaky defense

💰 Bet Recommendation: Wood 1+ SoT (-110)—great for single bets or parlays.

💡 Trends & Rationale:
✔️ Newcastle home games: 34 total goals in 12 matches (2.8 per game)
✔️ Nottingham Forest away games: 38 total goals in 13 matches (2.9 per game)
✔️ The reverse fixture ended 3-1 to Newcastle at Forest’s home ground
✔️ Both teams have hit this bet in 3 of their last 5 matches

💰 Bet Recommendation: BTTS (-120)—both teams' attacking form makes this a strong play.

💡 Trends & Rationale:
✔️ Newcastle averages 5.8 corners per game at home
✔️ Nottingham Forest averages only 4.15 corners per game away
✔️ Forest’s 39% average possession (worst in the league) means Newcastle will dominate play
✔️ The reverse fixture saw Newcastle 5-4 in corners, but now at home, they should hold a bigger edge

💰 Bet Recommendation: Newcastle Most Corners (-130)—Forest’s low possession should help Newcastle win this stat.

💡 Prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Nottingham Forest
✔️ Newcastle’s home form is strong, while Forest struggles to control games on the road.
✔️ Newcastle has won 3 of their last 5 at home, while Forest has been inconsistent away.
✔️ Safer play is Newcastle/Draw Double Chance (-250), but for value, Newcastle ML (-110) is reasonable.

✅ Elanga 1+ Shot
✅ Both Teams to Score
✅ Newcastle/Draw (Double Chance)
✅ Chris Wood 1+ Shot on Target

💰 Bet Rec: Small stake, but solid value for a plus-money play!

This should be a high-energy game with both teams getting chances. Newcastle’s attack at home is strong, but Forest’s offensive form shouldn’t be ignored. Expect a tight match, but Newcastle’s set-piece advantage and shot volume give them the edge.

🚨 Best Bet: BTTS (-120)
🎯 Value Pick: Elanga 2+ Shots (-120)
🎯 Prop Play: Chris Wood 1+ SoT (-110)

📅 Date: Sunday, February 23, 2025
⏰ Kickoff: 8:30 AM EST
📍 Location: Etihad Stadium
🎰 Odds: