🏀 Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
🕒 Time: 5:30 PM PT, Wednesday, May 28
📍 Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, OK)
Spread: Timberwolves +8.0 (-110) | Thunder -8.0 (-110)
Moneyline: Timberwolves +275 | Thunder -350
Total: 221.0 (O -110, U -110)
Series: Thunder lead 3–1
Matchup Breakdown:
The Thunder are on the brink of their first NBA Finals appearance since 2012, holding a 3–1 series lead. In Game 4, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander delivered with 40 points, 10 assists, and 9 rebounds, leading Oklahoma City to a narrow 128–126 victory. Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren provided substantial support, contributing 34 and 21 points respectively.
Despite the loss, the Timberwolves showcased depth with six players scoring in double figures. However, turnovers plagued Minnesota, committing 21 in Game 4, which proved costly. Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle struggled as well.
Minnesota needs to clean up the turnovers and get Edwards free in space. The Thunder are tough on D but Minnesota still had a shot despite shooting themselves in the foot. I’m expecting the role players to not do as well in this one, so Edwards is going to need to go off to give them a chance.
Bet: Timberwolves +5 1st Half
Key Trends:
Thunder are 6–2 ATS when favored by 7 or more points at home in the playoffs.
Timberwolves are 4–2 ATS in their last six road games.
The total has gone over in 3 of the 4 games in this series.
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