Matchup Overview
Eagles (4–1): Elite defense (top 5 across multiple categories), offense is efficient but not explosive. Jalen Hurts is playing clean football (7–0 TD/INT ratio). Run game has struggled at times (3.5 YPC, #29), but red zone efficiency is #1 in the NFL (92% TDs).
Giants (1–4): Offense is bottom-tier (17.4 PPG, #28) and they are missing WR Malik Nabers. Rookie QB Jaxson Dart is starting — he’s mobile but raw, with a high turnover-worthy play rate (4.88%). Defense is weak against the run (140 rush yards allowed per game, #26) and gives up long drives.
Key Strengths & Weaknesses
Eagles defense vs. Dart:
Giants rank #30 in 3rd down conversions and #32 in red zone TD rate.
Philly is #9 on 3rd downs and #3 in red zone defense.
This screams trouble for Dart sustaining drives. Expect punts and FGs, not TDs (unless Dart just goes off with his legs).
Eagles offense vs. Giants defense:
Eagles don’t gain big yardage (261 YPG, #30), but they are efficient in scoring situations.
Giants defense allows 25.4 PPG (#22) and has the worst penalty yards per game (#32).
Hurts’ clean play + Giants giveaways (-1 TO margin/game, #28) favor Philly controlling tempo.
Short week factor (Thursday night):
Historically lower-scoring, sloppy games.
Rookie QB Dart is at a disadvantage with less prep time going against a tough defense.
Betting Market Snapshot
Spread: Eagles -7 / Giants +7
O/U: 40.5
Moneyline: Eagles -404 / Giants +318
Sharp money is leaning under (63%) and Eagles spread (76% of handle).