Getting this one out to you early so you have it before the Champions League gets started early in the morning!
This edition is a special treat for Premium members only. I’m also putting out college basketball early in the morning for all subscribers as the single NBA matchup for tomorrow (Hornets vs. Lakers). I know most of you are big basketball fans here, so be on the look out for that tomorrow!
You can upgrade anytime for just $20/month to get all the picks and special editions, like this Champions League deep dive today. I’ll share the first match with our free subs and the rest will be premium-only.
Good luck this week!
⚽️Dortmund vs. Sporting CP
📅 February 19, 2025 | 9:45 AM ET
📍 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
🔥 Second Leg | First Leg: Dortmund 3-0 Sporting CP
🏆 Best Match Bet: Borussia Dortmund ML (-125)
Borussia Dortmund enters this second-leg clash with a commanding 3-0 lead from the first leg. At home, they are strong favorites to close out against a Sporting side that has struggled on the road.
📌 Why?
✔️ Dortmund has won 4 of their last 6 home matches.
✔️ Sporting has only won 1 of their last 7 away matches.
✔️ Dortmund has won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matchups.
💰 Best Bet: Dortmund ML (-125)
📊 Over/Under Total Goals
🚀 Over 2.5 Goals (-150) | Over 3.5 Goals (+180)
📌 Why?
✅ 8 of Dortmund’s last 10 home matches have seen Over 2.5 goals.
✅ Sporting has hit Over 2.5 in 14 of their last 20 matches.
✅ Sporting has scored 2+ goals in 17 of 22 league matches this season.
💰 Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (-150)
🎯 Longshot Bet: Over 3.5 Goals (+180)
⚡ Top Player Props & Shots Bets
🔥 1️⃣ Serhou Guirassy – To Score Anytime (+120)
⚡ Guirassy scored in the first leg and leads Dortmund’s attack.
⚡ Averaging 3.5 shots per game in the UCL.
🎯 2️⃣ Jamie Gittens – Over 2.5 Shots (-110)
⚡ Dortmund’s second-most active shooter with 2.85 shots per game.
⚡ With Sporting pressing, he should have plenty of chances.
⚡ 3️⃣ Viktor Gyökeres – To Score Anytime (+200)
⚡ Sporting’s leading scorer with 6 goals in his last 10 games.
⚡ If Sporting scores, he’s their best bet to find the net.
📌 Additional Value Bets
✅ Both Teams to Score (BTTS - Yes, -163)
Dortmund has conceded in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Sporting needs to attack and will likely find the net.
✅ Sporting CP Over 3.5 Team Corners (-110)
Sporting averages 6.5 corners per game in their last 10 matches.
If they push forward, expect plenty of set-piece opportunities.
📝 Final Betting Card
✅ Dortmund ML (-125)
✅ Over 2.5 Goals (-150)
✅ Serhou Guirassy to Score Anytime (+120)
✅ Jamie Gittens Over 2.5 Shots (-110)
✅ Both Teams to Score (BTTS - Yes, -163)
🎯 Longshot Bet: Over 3.5 Goals (+180)
🔮 Final Score Prediction: Dortmund 3-1 Sporting CP
⚽️ PSV Eindhoven vs. Juventus
📅 February 19, 2025 | 12:00 PM ET
📍 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
🔥 Second Leg | First Leg: Juventus 2-1 PSV
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