🕒 1:00 PM ET @ Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
💰 Moneyline: Purdue -230 / Wisconsin +195 | Total: 149.5 (-105 over / -115 under)
Key betting trends:
Wisconsin: 15-8-1 ATS overall, 6-2 ATS as a road team.
Purdue: 15-10 ATS, strong at home (12-1 SU) but just 8-5 ATS.
Head-to-Head: Purdue has won 6 of the last 10 matchups, but Wisconsin took the last meeting in OT, 76-75.
Wisconsin Badgers
Record: 19-5, 15-8-1 ATS
✅ Elite free-throw shooting (1st in FT%)
✅ Strong perimeter offense (36.5% 3PT, 14th in 3PM/game)
✅ Disciplined with the ball (26th in turnovers/game)
✅ Efficient scoring team (7th in shooting efficiency)
❌ Weak offensive rebounding (286th in ORB/game)
❌ Lack of rim protection (323rd in blocks/game)
Key injuries: None reported.
Purdue Boilermakers
Record: 19-6, 15-10 ATS
✅ Elite offensive efficiency (8th in KenPom’s adjusted efficiency)
✅ Strong three-point defense (30th in opponent 3PT%)
✅ Solid rebounding team (33rd in opponent rebounds/game)
✅ Well-balanced scoring attack (7th in shooting %, 11th in FGM/game)
❌ Struggles against quick ball movement (227th in opponent assists/game)
❌ Weak shot-blocking presence (346th in blocks/game)
Key injuries: D. Jacobsen (out - lower leg).
Picks & predictions
Final score: Purdue 81 - Wisconsin 73
Outcome: Purdue covers the spread | Key factors: Purdue’s shooting efficiency, Wisconsin’s rebounding struggles, and Mackey Arena’s home-court advantage.
Spread pick | Purdue -5.5 (-110) - Reasoning: Purdue has covered the spread in 7 of its last 10 games. Wisconsin struggles with second-chance opportunities, which will be an issue against a strong rebounding Purdue team. Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7/10) |
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